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fujiwara79

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Everything posted by fujiwara79

  1. fujiwara79
    seems like we spend most of our time chasing unicorns (-ao/-nao). that unicorn was here all year and didn't deliver much for dc proper. a bad pacific will easily emasculate a good atlantic. northwest of the cities it's been a satisfactory winter. it's underperformed relative to what we should have gotten based on a great -ao/-nao but better the past two winters for sure.
  2. fujiwara79
    Hate to say I told you so, but....I told you so.
  3. fujiwara79
    18" here. looks like some dry air moving in from the east so it'll stop for a while.
  4. fujiwara79
    Now up to 15". Still coming down hard.
  5. fujiwara79
    12" near Hagerstown. Judging by the radar and mesos, we're probably heading towards 18". We went from a bust to an overperformer.
  6. fujiwara79
    heavy snow near hagerstown. picked up 2" over the past hour. 9" total. big fatties.
  7. fujiwara79
    globals were pretty bad; mesos were pretty good. according to gfs, we should be pouring rain right now and approaching 40 degrees. what a terrible model.
  8. fujiwara79
    I think 48 hours of sporadic light snow should get you 2 additional inches...so yes!
  9. fujiwara79
    So the DC metro area was forecast to receive 4-8" of snow. After this is all over, it seems that forecast will verify. Granted it will take 48 hours of sporadic light snow to get there, but I wonder why there is so much gloom in this forum. The heavier snow was always going to be further NE. At least it wasn't a complete whiff like 12/30/2000 or 12/26/2010 or countless others.
  10. fujiwara79
    it seems like the same things happen with every storm: radar hallucinations, freaking out about dry slots, and declaring the storm to be a failure before it's over.
  11. fujiwara79
    qanon + 4chan = 40westwx
  12. fujiwara79
    i've noticed on tropical tidbits, the icon never depicts precip that is a mix or ice. it only shows rain or snow. any idea why?
  13. fujiwara79
    yeah, the second half of that winter was very active. the first half of that winter was basically snowless everywhere. we had a severely negative ao/nao the entire winter though. i'm guessing the first half of the winter must have been a lot of suppression. eventually the dam broke and we cashed in.
  14. fujiwara79
    ikcarsky sounds like the My Pillow guy. take some herbal supplements + hcq and call him in the morning. he'll even give you a a free pillow if you take his cocktail potion.
  15. fujiwara79
    i believe we had a severely negative -nao/-ao during the winter of 59-60. and yet we were completely snowless until sometime in february that season? patience.
  16. fujiwara79
    if all people need to care about is the risk of dying, then you're probably correct. however, long-term covid symptoms is a very real thing people are experiencing. it appears similar to chronic lyme disease. and if you talk to people who have chronic lyme -- their lives are miserable. hopefully chronic covid doesn't become a big problem, but it definitely lingers in some people longer than the flu. measles has a much lower ifr than covid and we vaccinate for that.
  17. fujiwara79
    federalism means most management, governance and coordination is delegated (federated) to the states. my point was that this doesn't work when managing a crisis. the government should play a more central role but it currently doesn't. germany employs federalism as well, but they coordinate much better amongst their regions than we do.
  18. fujiwara79
    we're having the same issues with the vaccine rollout that we had with testing. federalism doesn't work for crisis management.
  19. fujiwara79
    well, in this case, it appears the rain/snow line for these storms is west of chicago. montreal, quebec and even labrador are getting rain.
  20. fujiwara79
    so we have a -ao/-nao/+pna, and yet all storms cut west of chicago for the next two weeks? teleconnections are basically meaningless if that's how we roll now.
  21. fujiwara79
    it appears the 2020 life expectancy will go down between 2-3 years. 2019 life expectancy was 78.8...they are expecting the 2020 life expectancy to be about 76.8. biggest drop since world war II. we've also experienced the biggest increase in deaths since the spanish flu in 1918. if doctors are supposedly just switching the cause of death to covid, in order to get more reimbursement, how exactly does that explain the above? (don't answer...it's a rhetorical question for the conspiracy theorists)
  22. fujiwara79
    3400 dead today. for context: on average, heart disease kills 2100 per day, cancer kills 1800 per day. so right now covid is killing almost as many people as heart disease and cancer combined. but hey, it's not that fatal, 99.997% survive. or something.
  23. fujiwara79
    yes, i've brought this up too. honestly, i think some of these people need to get off twitter, and take a tour of an overflowing hospital.
  24. fujiwara79
    tom cruise yelled at the maskless people on the movie set. too funny. honestly, this should be how we deal with the anti-mask contingent. dr. fauci is just way too nice. https://www.thesun.co.uk/tvandshowbiz/13489709/tom-cruise-covid-rant-mission-impossible-2/
  25. fujiwara79
    DCA only got a trace unfortunately.
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