WinterWxLuvr

It’s important to look at those height lines also. Now if we were seeing 570+ over our region I’d think mild. But at 550 and lower, I think probably around normal. The cold continental air is still there in that pattern. It just gets modified with the PAC air. It won’t be cold per se but I think it will be cold enough for a storm to drag in some or a high pressure to funnel in enough that it can still snow in that pattern. Any precip events would likely be quick with that flow. Also, that’s a mean. I’m sure there are solutions that are both cold and warm. But overall that look doesn’t scream torch in my opinion. When the heights go above 570 and you start to see that bulge over Florida then you can get out the sunscreen.

Not convinced that they aren’t screaming that here also. Last Monday I had snow likely with temps that morning supposedly near 32. It barely got under 40 and there was no snow Monday or even Monday night. Managed a few flurries later in but temp forecasts busted high through the whole period. Just not feeling it but hoping for a pleasant surprise

Miserable

Also noted that the precip amounts on TT didn’t vary much so the difference may be a function of the snow algorithms

Wow. Snow in Iceland.

HPC shifted their heaviest snow and highest probability nw while it seems the models have shifted some to the se. Guess it’s time for the

I was just going off of TT. I’m with you. My high bar is an inch on non paved surfaces. Don’t see this as more than that. Never have.

Both the GFS and NAM just cut way back in snowfall totals. LOL, I mean way back.

Oh ok. I didn’t look but was thinking you were comparing to 18z

Perhaps but you’re comparing different times

Today was almost the day but the 18z euro ruined it . And the gfs and eps ensembles

Ok. Thanks. That’s a pretty good step back from 12z if I remember

Is there a reason we would believe anything beyond a short window of time?

Need that through 12z Wednesday for comparisons

LOL roughing the passer

Well the time stamp will be different. If this time tomorrow it’s twice as snowy will you tell us you told us so?

Geez. Was the Euro hacked by the NAM?

The precip part of this seems likely to at the least decent. It’s those ground temps that are so iffy at least as modeled.

I anxiously await the 9z euro

Haha, my goto is usually the one that shows the least.

Should I trust the NAM?

Do you have the 72 and 75 hour maps?

Surely we can get some type of reliable idea today since we are so close in time.-

That moon angle is high this time of year. Use of moon screen is highly recommended by dermatologists.