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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
It made a big jump on Tuesday though- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Comparison?- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not according to the gfs- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
The RGEM probably would have been good- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep, 0-2- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
My money says the ICON is gonna be closer to its 6z run than 12z. Seems to be heading that way. See if I can go 0 for 2 today- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
^Dude up above posting any shit that can be found. It might already be there- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Let’s just make up a model- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
You add a ton. Always have- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thanks. I think all that you mentioned is possible. As has been stated by many, what takes place the next 24-36 greatly affects this.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
To nudge it west? I think that’s what you mean- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
1-3 and 2-4 are and always have been typical winter “storms”. Setting the bar at 6+ is gonna leave you high and dry almost all of the time. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Is it possible to get a low in the MA that isn’t 1075 mb? -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol. Now we’ve hit on what really matters.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think it all hinges on the vortex in Canada ending up more west than modeled. If that happens we should be good. More vorticity in the sw like previously modeled would help as well. Anything to deepen that trough, sooner.- 425 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
WinterWxLuvr replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
This may actually work. A preemptive thread to cause a model to change course. I like it.- 425 replies
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I agree with this. Didn’t take time to look at anything other than the snow map. I don’t usually look to hard at that model because I don’t have access to the low/precip maps available on the others. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Always -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not a good trend. I will add that we are still a good ways away from this. Plenty of time for change. And for once I’d say slower is better. If this ends up a late Tues/We storm it might be a good thing -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maps or it didn’t happen -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I want the one off the SC coast or Va Beach -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is the bottom line. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
The GGEM and GFS are worlds apart along about the 100th meridian around hour 102. It looks to me like the Canadian was about 6 hours too fast from it being a big storm. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
WinterWxLuvr replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
We lost that vorticity coming through the 4 corners region around 78-84 from the previous runs. That what pulled that trough down and without it we just flattened out.