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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. WinterWxLuvr
    That’s the big shift on the NAMs. The low position is now drastically mor inland and north than it was at 0z. Hence more southerly wind vs southeast. It evidently is making a huge difference.
  2. WinterWxLuvr
    That’s the issue with the NAMs. Thermals are jumping all over the place
  3. WinterWxLuvr
    Actually the moisture on most of the models was pretty consistent with only slight drops. The stunning drops in snowfall output would be due to something the models are all of a sudden seeing regarding the thermals.
  4. WinterWxLuvr
    Great post. Wake up and every model has jumped off a cliff
  5. WinterWxLuvr
    There’s more upside possible now. We could ride a rising wave for once.
  6. WinterWxLuvr
    When the euro came in wetter, that was huge. That typically does not happen.
  7. WinterWxLuvr
    NAMs can’t be trusted no matter how good they look. It is encouraging to see models upping the precip though
  8. WinterWxLuvr
    Thank you
  9. WinterWxLuvr
    I don’t mind cutters when it’s cold in se Canada
  10. WinterWxLuvr
    Do you have qpf totals at that same time? Thats a big jump here.
  11. WinterWxLuvr
    A lot wetter
  12. WinterWxLuvr
    It’s not just snowfall. Look at its precip totals. I’m telling you guys that’s the key. Heavy precip will do the trick for a lot of people.
  13. WinterWxLuvr
    Put faith in the NAM. Go ahead
  14. WinterWxLuvr
    Shew, thank goodness
  15. WinterWxLuvr
    The euro got better. Everyone’s individual backyard snow map may not have but by increasing the precip and coverage, I think it upped our chances. The 850’s don’t really jump for most. So heavier precip, the low fees to start and the cold to start combined with heavy precip might just do the trick. Fingers crossed
  16. WinterWxLuvr
    I didn’t post it. I only commented on what was posted
  17. WinterWxLuvr
    Todays has been at worst a hold the line day. Actually I think we’ve seen some positives. Perhaps this trends our way as we move forward
  18. WinterWxLuvr
    Look harder. The more precip we can get in here the better off we are gonna be. This was a step in the right direction.
  19. WinterWxLuvr
    One thing is certain. It’s cold Sat morning. The dews are low. No sun, steady even heavy precip into that makes the cold hard to erode and warm.
  20. WinterWxLuvr
    All good. Wasn’t being snappy. I just took one look at that thing and said whoa. But you’re right, one could easily say modify this a little and it’s game on.
  21. WinterWxLuvr
    Euro is better, closer to the GGM and UKIE More precip, little stronger, closer
  22. WinterWxLuvr
    Lol. If you don’t see danger in these maps then I guess rock on. I’m just commenting on the map shown. 10 day maps are useless.
  23. WinterWxLuvr
    The alt scenario is scary. Deepen that western trough and bubble that massive SER and we go full torch
  24. WinterWxLuvr
    The difference with the Can models, and to an extent the UKIE, is that they are much wetter. I guess that’s ok, but at least here, the last few systems have been drier in the actual than they were when modeled. The euro and gfs are really dry here. The NAM moistened up a bit over the 0z.
  25. WinterWxLuvr
    Gotta love the RGEM. Bless its heart. Has it ever been right?
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