WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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Shame. Looks like Augusta County got the shaft.
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How confident are you?
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The trends for this aren’t good. I feel it’s entirely possible that by this time tomorrow we are looking at a snow to start briefly before changing to light rain basically region wide.
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So much for a good gfs run,
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Why not just wait and post it after it’s completely over?
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Pretty good I’d say
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Ask stormy
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See what I mean?
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You might want to step away for a bit
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72
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It’s not a fable. In fact, it’s idiotic to think that updated data won’t affect a model output.
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My grading criteria was very specific
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It is better overall, maybe not if you are near the border
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I can’t remember 6z
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Eps probably come in better
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Another option is a bomb over the outer banks that can create a scenario of heavy snow that can overcome marginal temps. I’m hanging my hat on that one lol
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Some of us live there and don’t want anything to do with further south and east. Just sayin ..
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Think I’ll not put any eggs in the GEM basket. Waiting for the euro but there’s still room for this to be big IMO. All I look at is the 500 map at about Fri morning. That’s gonna tell the tale. There’s room for improvement there and the gfs did so ever so slightly
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I like your use of the median
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It can’t be trusted as well. Only missed by about 45” in Balt a few years ago.
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Damn that’s discouraging. I typically rely on the long range NAM for my forecasts.
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Without snow on the ground I doubt there would be a front end thump.
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Waffling means uncertainty. It may not go our way but I seriously doubt we have seen the actual result forecast yet. We need a stronger storm. To get it, we need that first sw to dig. To get that we need that trailing piece to back off. Just my views
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That Euro run only goes to 0z right?
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What impresses me about the gfs is it’s rock steady consistency
