StormfanaticInd

Some signs  of life in the thunderstorm department next week

3 hours ago, Stebo said:

Nothing tops this state and specifically SEMI which in June will hit 6 years since there was a tornado watch.

Wow

What's even crazy is there is no severe weather in sight and we are in May!

Severe weather has definitely taken a downturn. It is nothing like it used to be 

8 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Seemed like it took forever to get under 35k, but now it's a decent amount below.

Yeah we are really dropping now. Hope it continues 

Hospitalizations are now almost down to 31k!

5 minutes ago, madwx said:

There is a large trough over the central US right now that is pushing the jet stream to the south making Texas and the SE the preferential spot for storms 

Which is extremely unusual. It has been frustratingly hard to even get a regular thunderstorm ⛈ this spring 

Cases in America are really declining. On pace to be mostly back to normal this summer 

It seems to me that ever since that infamous winter of 13-14 our springs have not been the same. 

Thinking this summer will be below to well below average.

57 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I went to IHME for the first time in a few weeks, and needless to say I was shocked when I saw them projecting 948,000 US covid deaths by September 1. 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend

 

I noticed the number before I read the paragraph at the top.  Basically, they changed their methodology to not make a projection for reported covid deaths, but to include covid deaths that are unreported.  You can read about it here:

https://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

They believe that there have been just over 900k covid deaths in the US to date. It's a stunning number that initially struck me as too high.  But contrary to some who have been arguing that covid deaths are inflated, it's quite likely that the opposite is true.  We just don't know by how much.  I'm sure more estimates will emerge as to how many people died from covid in this time period.  But whether it's 700k, 800k, 900k, it's all bad.

Really what I suspected all along. As I said earlier some/many states are under reporting 

Ice age

Ice age has begun folks

India with over 410k cases today...

The models are just brutal 

Well that escalated quickly 

Looks like its starting to bow out

From a little earlier 

2 minutes ago, WeatherMonger said:

I'm about here

 

Thats going to be close.