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TowsonWeather

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Everything posted by TowsonWeather

  1. TowsonWeather
    Yes we are. Shift this whole thing 75 miles S/SE and we all win. As it is, as depicted anyway, it's a nailbiter for many in this forum.
  2. TowsonWeather
    Exactly this.
  3. TowsonWeather
    First, it's more like 4-8. Second, the warmer air and rain would make the ground reality much lower. I think you'll find we can absoLUTEly complain about that if it ends up being right ;-)
  4. TowsonWeather
    This is a phenomenally stupid post. The big storm isn't "going away". You have to have a remarkable depth of ignorance about meteorology and modeling to think that the historic totals shown 5+ days out on one run of one model not verifying would be an example of a "failure" of modeling. Jesus.
  5. TowsonWeather
    You're 100% right that's been the trend. That's what we have to hope for, honestly. It's why I'm still pretty hopeful (and the fact that it's the Euro in our corner). But it's still disconcerting to see so many globals showing the way we typically fail in Miller Bs - and we'd definitely shouldn't ignore that if we want to be clear-eyed and objective about this.
  6. TowsonWeather
    Ugh. Why do I get the feeling the Euro is gonna do that thing is does...where it caves to lesser models, but only when it shows us getting big snow first.
  7. TowsonWeather
    120 looks pretty solid...I should stop trying to parse the B&W maps, lol.
  8. TowsonWeather
    hmmm...CMC seems closer to the GFS look (basing that just off the horrible B&W maps)
  9. TowsonWeather
    Inching toward the Euro with each model run... This was yet another tick south.
  10. TowsonWeather
    Ahhhh, you're from Richmond. That explains it. But yes, for sure, there are sound meteorological reasons why this storm, still 5+ days away, will "bump south" a couple times, right into your own backyard, then "lock it in." I can identify no flaws in your analysis.
  11. TowsonWeather
    Based on...what exactly? The fact that virtually all other guidance has it north?
  12. TowsonWeather
    I would trade the next 5 winters for multiple feet of snow.
  13. TowsonWeather
    Yeah, if Central MD gets 15 inches while Central VA gets 3 feet, we riot.
  14. TowsonWeather
  15. TowsonWeather
    A Heather A is bigger than a Becky C, but not as memorable as Chuck D.
  16. TowsonWeather
    In these last final moments before the rug gets pulled, I just want to say I love you all.
  17. TowsonWeather
    "Barely even double digits" qualifies as a crush job this and any other year around here.
  18. TowsonWeather
    Why are my odds of getting >1 inch the same as my odds of getting > 6 inches? lol
  19. TowsonWeather
    While I don't necessarily think it's likely, if you don't think a R/S line can move 50-75 miles 3+ days before an event, you've been living in a bubble.
  20. TowsonWeather
    Even with the sleet - this was my favorite storm of all time. Heavy snow all day from that STJ firehose before the coastal even got going.
  21. TowsonWeather
    Wait wait...you're saying a 10-day + OP might not evolve as depicted? This changes everything. Did y'all know that?!? Man...this is blowing my mind right now. Thank GOD you were here to share this!
  22. TowsonWeather
    Thanks for this. This is the kind of nuance that's super helpful for those like me that read these boards a ton but still have a fairly superficial understanding of how well different models handle those layers.
  23. TowsonWeather
    At what point does it start to sink in that maybe it's not everyone else that has an issue...maybe (just maybe) it's you? Your knowledge and insight is clearly greatly appreciated. But your delivery veers between abrupt, condescending and dismissive in a way that seems almost calculated to annoy. Communicating and engaging with others is a critical skill to have on a public message board - especially when you have so much to offer in terms of expertise.
  24. TowsonWeather
  25. TowsonWeather
    Wait...what happened? Where'd he go?
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