vortex95

So for the DEN snowstorm... Max measured amount I could find was 33.9" 1.8 S Estes Park (about 8000 ft). Max estimated from SNOTEL was 33.8" 4 NNW Long Peak (about 9100 ft). HRRR fcst snow totals were over 40" and odds are that did indeed occur above 10,000 (hard to verify tho since no in situ obs). Global models fcst max amounts just over 30" in the highest elevations w/ their lower resolution for terrain, so a great fcst overall for the absolute highest amounts. Yes, not a drought buster, but quite significant snowfall event w/ high LEQs, so this can only help. You can choose to look at things glass half empty or full. Emphasize the negative or positive. Just the MSM tends to focus on the negative, which is nothing new really, but social media and overall divide these days often amplifies it to the extreme w/ context and perspective lacking. Denver officially had 5.8" but the climate location is 16 mi ENE of the downtown. SW suburbs had up to 9.5". Also, it seems that May snowstorms ranking for Denver is all over the place on social media. https://kdvr.com/weather/wx-news/this-may-snowstorm-is-one-of-the-largest-in-denver-history/ The above link lists the biggest snowfalls for the city and it is inclusive for the 3 different locations where snow has been measured (earliest event listed is 1931). It states this most recent snowstorm was the 5th biggest in the city's history, but that is incorrect. It leaves out 12.4" on May 5-6, 1978 and May 13-14, 1912 and 15.5" May 1-5, 1898. And when I have mentioned this on social media posts, ppl have said, "that's what the NWS provided to me." Yet you go on the NWS BOU site, and the 3 May snowstorms I just mentioned are listed. NWS Boulder Denver Top 20 Records - May It just goes to show how easily bad or incorrect information can spread. Too many media outlets and individuals just parrot what others say and do no fact-checking themselves! This is important in the large pix when talking about wx and climate b/c the details count and can make a big difference in stories/statements.

The long range theme is WET, WET, WET, or using ACATT translation - BLOWS, BLOWS, BLOWS! LOL.

Scott all excited about the 00z ECMWF coastal on Monday?!

Passed right over K40B. Temp dropped from 70 to 55 F.

Scott would settle for this (video I took). Best "scudnado" I have ever seen, including the 20+ times I have storm chased in the Plains!

What about Weeping Willows? Those things lose it w/ a gnat fart! No roots either.

This persistent trough pattern may lead to a solid nor'easter eventually. See that storm from May 3-4 that bombed S of Nova Scotia? 981 to 968 mb in just 3 hr! Scott impressed? https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1SBWGokHDi/

Thanks Captain Obvious!

Question...I used the PSU reanalyses maps a lot going back, but a few years ago, the link I had did not work anymore. What is the link now?

Frost and then perhaps a "Scott Spinner" this aftn-eve!

HRRR shows "PT time." Over 40" in the mtns. Thought it seemed high but GFS/ECMWF/UKMET all show 30"+ same area. Why not? Upslope flow this time of year w/ a lot more moisture available than even March (DEN snowiest month). Scott probably still "MEH!"

Yes, note the large 546 thk pool over much of the NE. Tons of SHRA/TSRA w/ hail to marginal svr levels across the region 6/30 and 7/1.

40" in the mountains. ACATT: WHY CAN'T....

7/1/1988 34 for a low Barre Falls MA. Frost in SNE in July? MWN 4" snow 6/30-7/1/1988, its most snow in the summer. Go figure, this was sandwiched in-between big heat in mid-June and after 7/4. One of the hottest summers on record for the area and the U.S. And the drought? $60B in damages, by far the costliest natural disaster for the country up to this time. Yellowstone burned continuously from June to November. July 1988 here was one of most active tstm months on record for SNE. MQE had 15 days w/ thunder for its all-time record. ASH also had 15 tstm days (43 total for the year). Derecho ALB to BOS on 6/22.

Meanwhile in DEN coming up. Scott again: " Why can't we get that here? -- I WANT A MAY 9-10, 1977 EVERY YEAR!" Interesting for DEN this snow season. They currently have more snow March-April (13.9") than meteorological winter (13.2") and more on the way. I bring this up b/c the clueless media could not stop talking about how there was a lack of snow this winter in the Rockies in Feb. However, the window for snow goes well beyond meteorological winter here, but of course the media doesn't realize this, or conveniently ignores to push hype/a narrative (no more snow). It's also the East Coast bias, as if the climate is the same everywhere and the East Coast (esp. NYC) is the standard! So even though meteorological winter was lacking for snow in the Rockies, they have made up some ground March-April, and will continue to do so short-term. The point is it no longer the record lowest for snow. Yes, still below avg, but that not the same as all-time records. These days any deviation from normal or anomaly is treated as unusual or extreme. What planet are they living on? And what do you think the headlines will be coming up in the next week? Not the unusually persistent cool wx in the East, but the "heat dome" in the West, despite the CO snowstorm.

Yesterday Port Comfort TX. Measured G103KT. CoastalWx -- WHY CAN'T WE GET THAT HERE? https://x.com/CPalermo_Storms/status/2050301507174539390 Actually, CoastalWx did have it "here." May 22, 1996 Brockton macroburst G90KT! However, despite him outside at track at his high school, he missed it! He only had a faint idea something was going on close by. He wasn't too good yet at "the sky is talking!"

4.5" max in Johnson Co. TX ydy. Enjoy it b/c that will be the last of sig svr in the "Alley" for the next week! This pattern out there is the equivalent of CoastalWx "THIS BLOWS" for the Northeast, but at least we may get some half-decent tstm activity here w/ so many FROPAs and the mean trough position stuck in the E UFN.

In the spirit of ACATT, some infographic "PT" material for his edification! LOL. https://x.com/sambrandt99/status/2026382119207923774 "There was much discussion about subsidence zones on the colder (WNW) side of snowbands during the recent [Feb] blizzard. But you may still be wondering "why does it occur on that side of the band specifically?" Well, the answer has to do with the dynamics of frontogenesis"

Scott would rather have this! As in bring out the BIG GUNS!

Too much AM convection likely the culprit. That can be overcome though it conditions are ideal, like April 27, 2011, but so often it mucks up the low-levels,