Rmine1

Wind just flipped to light south breeze in Brightwaters. Temp down 2, 80 might have been our peak high for the day

“Noseeum” season in full swing.

I’m about 35 miles west, and we’re pretty close to that #

Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue

Exactly. Anyway, the boss just put the hammer down and told me to stop pacing around talking to myself. I’m so ashamed

Sounds about right. I’m doing the old “if I stare at it hard enough, it will change” trick. Lol not working too well

Seems like we’re stuck in neutral in SW Suffolk(Brightwaters). Radar looks so promising, but the snow rates aren’t being realized. Hopefully that changes

LOL! Great point. Maybe I should have stayed in a Holiday Inn last night. Now where’s my rock? I need to go back under it Best part for is that I have reached my 4 post limit! if anyone wants to pm me, my email is “[email protected]”

Where is the low now? Because to my untrained eye, and lack of knowledge, it looks like a lot is racing due ENE and not NE

How much precip do we piss away before it’s cold enough to stick? Plus whatever is falling now is nowhere near 10:1.

“Historic” was the kiss of death. However, It would have been a lot more painful if this was the only opportunity for snow this winter. Mother Nature is one fickle “bleep”.

Precip type issues creeping into the story for the coast?

Why? It’s happened more often than not for the immediate coast, and temps going quite warm as the precip moves in. Usual spots will JP. NNJ, LHV etc

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

Sorry, brightwaters

Upton has rain/snow mix for Sunday?

Oh please Mother Nature, no “warm nose” this time!

2.25” Brightwaters

DOA for LI. Maybe a flurry at best

Flurries brightwaters 31

I’m in Brightwaters and visibility has to be well under a 1/4 of a mile right now. 15 degrees, quickly approaching 6” OTG

Plain rain creeping up to LI

Would you rather waste precip waiting for the column to cool enough to support snow, or to what we may be facing tomorrow evening? I most certainly rather have the snow on the ground before a possible mix, that will still be frozen. Far from ideal, but we all know that “ideal” snowstorms, especially for LI, are a rarity. We’ll all love the winter wonderland that won’t be melted away the following day, also very typical of recent winters.

433 FXUS61 KOKX 241529 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1029 AM EST Sat Jan 24 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes with the forecast for the upcoming major winter storm and prolonged cold conditions. && Upton pre GFS. “No significant changes”Wait and see what changes(if any) in the next update. regardless, if we can squeeze out snowfall rates of 1-2” per hour for 6-8 hours, we should still end up with a very significant snowfall. Then the sleet will just turn everything into cement. With extended cold in the forecast, whatever is left ain’t going anywhere fast This is still going to be an extremely impactful event regardless of the potential mixing

Can’t catch a break. Rain is slowly making its way into the conversation, especially for LI. Hard to believe given the arctic airmass ahead of it, but we’ve seen this happen before. Just goes to show that getting the perfect storm is nearly impossible for the immediate coast.