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IronTy

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Everything posted by IronTy

  1. At the house in DC right now it's 44F. At the house down in Calvert it's already down to 37F. A good omen, going back down there in the AM to make final preps. Going out to the cabin at DCL on Thursday, they currently have a WSW for 6-12" so I think I'm gonna get my snow fix no matter what.
  2. I think JB was talking about the southern lobe of the LP over the GL and how the euro was holding it back slightly before it joined with the eastern LP and that was what was causing the euro to have lower impact totals. Maybe the HRRR is doing the same thing?
  3. Accordion my to the snow contest totals, BWI can't get more than 13" of additional snow this season. Sorry, that's just how it shakes out.
  4. Dude it's late February and we're looking at a noreaster probably half a foot+ of snow following record cold and one of the most anomalous snow events in DC history. Life is good.
  5. Our house in Calvert is right near Breezy Point. How we looking?
  6. Question for mets and model gurus. When data gets fed into a model (i.e., GFS), I understand in the satellite era how it's pretty easy to get temp data and precip/humidity. But how do they capture atmospheric dynamics like the various vortices? Clearly just utilizing weather station data and weather balloons wouldn't be near a high enough resolution to initialize a model accurately. Do they do something fancy with satellites and refraction to measure Eddy currents in the atmosphere?
  7. I love these late season snow storms. After Valentine's Day im rooting for spring and warm and moth season weather so rain is fine with me. But I'm still a snow weenie so I'll always welcome a HECS. Just don't give me a cold and windy March!
  8. Probably best he stay off the forums then. It's can't be helpful for ulcers. Seriously though, hope he comes through ok to at least get to watch the snow through the window.
  9. That's good info to know, thank you for explaining the math. My engineer brain can sleep now.
  10. As an engineer who designs powerplants...I see these these ranges they throw out and almost get an anxiety attack. Lol 1-12" for dover.
  11. I've never noticed them before, do you know what the two thick black lines in the graphic represent Era, duh nevermind now I see how they've broken it into three zones.
  12. WJLA forecast...Veronica Johnson? Those are some strange odds they use to calculate? "5% odds....strike that, make it one in twenty-five!"
  13. Thanks, that makes it clear! My wife is supposed to travel to Philadelphia Monday morning. Should I break to her the news?
  14. Where are you referring to? GFS looks close to 3" precip right along the bay?
  15. I'll take my 30" of snow thank you very much. Safe to say I'll be doing this storm at the house in Calvert.
  16. Are we thinking this storm will be similar to the 1/2022 storm we had where it was pouring rain one minute and then dumping snow paste the next where we ended up with a foot of snow and a ton of downed trees in Calvert? I understand the synoptics aren't the same here but the results could be similar?
  17. This is rare air. I'm gonna be so nervous to check the 06Z when I wake up. I might come here first and see how many pages of new posts to set expectations before I log on WB.
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