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Everything posted by TexMexWx

  1. Pretty pronounced debris signature on that now too.
  2. NW of Boise City, OK Braydon Morisseau on Twitter: "Expanded and sounds like a large tornado NW of Boise City, Oklahoma #okwx 9:28PM @PrairieChasers @RadarOmega_WX https://t.co/IZH9S1YKrs" / Twitter EDIT: Seems like some chasers are convinced it was a scud bomb (either this image or other reported tornadoes in the area). Guess we'll find out later.
  3. PDS warning(s) now for that storm for all of about 9 people in total + chasers
  4. WxTwitter can get incredibly chaotic but it's also very helpful for finding streams (especially when people actually credit the images that they post lol)
  5. Another very rapidly rotating wall cloud on that stream simultaneous to the other tornado (which may have been weakening, but can't see because he's not pointing at it).
  6. Livestream of tornado near Herndon coloradoweathernut - Twitch
  7. Pretty much all other CAMs show convective initiation though... We've seen multiple times where the HRRR backs off on initiating during the late morning on the day of only to just be wrong and in disagreement with the other models. Of course, storms aren't guaranteed either, but I'm just saying that this kind of situation is not too unusual for the HRRR.
  8. Also a tornado-warned storm approaching the Lubbock metro from the west.
  9. Hail-driven MOD risk including Lubbock and Abilene
  10. I went out to take a look, everything was rain-wrapped obviously and couldn't see anything lol, but was worth a shot Not sure if we ever had a touchdown, but the path of the rotation would have taken it right over my old neighborhood (which also got on 10/20/19)
  11. Mesoscale Discussion 0625 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0617 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021 Areas affected...southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 175... Valid 152317Z - 160015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 175 continues. SUMMARY...A relatively small window will exist through mid evening for brief isolated tornadoes from a portion of southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas. DISCUSSION...Early this evening a stationary boundary extends through southwest Kansas into southeast Colorado. Dewpoints are generally in the upper 50s to around 60 F in vicinity of this boundary contributing to somewhat lower LCLs and up to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Storms will continue spreading eastward off the higher terrain, and other storms may initiate on the boundary. Effective bulk shear around 35 kt will promote both multicell and marginal supercell structures, and some increase in 0-2 km hodograph size will occur as the low-level jet strengthens this evening. The primary threat for a few brief tornadoes is expected to occur as storms develop along or move east and interact with the boundary where low-level vorticity will be maximized. ..Dial.. 05/15/2021
  12. Law enforcement confirmed tornado near Weldon in east/southeast TX
  13. Kansas looks like it's pulling something out of its sleeve again with a TOR warning for areas in and around Salina and another northeast of there (hodos from KICT and KTWX show very sizable amounts of 0-1 km SRH in excess of 500 m2/s2)
  14. FWIW, looks like there's a low-end tornado watch up downstream of the current SVR watch in parts of N/NE KS
  15. Environment directly ahead of the Ellis/Kaufman cell and the line behind it isn't too bad. SRH is nothing crazy obviously and LCLs are a little high, but there's still >3500 j/kg CAPE
  16. Tornado warning on that trailing storm as well. The last thing we need is another tornado to drop on the interstate with traffic backed up and EMTs on the scene
  17. Jeff Piotrowski's live stream got really morbid with critically injured people on the Interstate and he's trying to not film but also trying to rescue.
  18. Connor McCrorey reporting multiple semis flipped around him on I35
  19. SVR on that cell now, and headed my way or perhaps passes just to my west
  20. The anvil from the storm 40 miles to the west is giving me almost full cloud cover here.
  21. SVR for Parker and Tarrant counties, storm motion off of the dryline is more north than east it seems (upscale growth says hi). Storm direction could change obviously, but right now, that's how it's looking.
  22. That's a very thoughtful discussion by FWD. I really am hoping we dodge a bullet with any significant severe storms, but again, it's conditional days like these that have produced our most noteworthy severe weather events for the past several years. I have a ton of work to catch up on, but if I have time and the situation presents itself, there's a park within a couple miles of my house that gives me a slightly elevated perch to look off miles to the west that I could go to for a bit and see if I can view anything.
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