40westwx
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Everything posted by 40westwx
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I would head further northeast than Winchester just to be safe.. I think maybe Frederick or Westminster, Md might be better bet.
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The NAM looks fairly close to the Global Models... which only lends itself to the fact that we have very good agreement in the models. While I understand that being close to the R/S line will result in big differences in terms of total snowfall with only small changes in track, It is silly to stress out over small run to run details... I would be looking for any last minute major adjustments of the models that will lead to significant bust or boom.. otherwise.. this is all just noise
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I guess the nightmare scenario would be if we get dryslotted right after a change over and then get fringed on the pivot.. other than that. I will take my chances with the a stronger storm as depicted by the euro and roll the dice with temps.. did you notice how the GFS has been keeping precip around for a couple 6 hour periods after the main shield exits.. is that one of those "upper level lows rotating through" things?
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this is an incendiary post.. you should be more sensitive to those south of you
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Actually I take that back.. it is a myth.. he is from the NE.. so he is using the whole "storm is now on shore" thing supports his delusional belief that the storm is somehow going to shift north inside of 60 hours.
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No it is actually a thing.. there has already been a lot of chatter about it here too.
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Bingo
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I guess.. IDK.. I grew up in Rosedale.. and spent a lot of time in Bowleys Quarters/ Middle River.. I remember when it snowed a lot in Rosedale.. it pretty much snowed everywhere in Eastern Baltimore County.. but maybe I wasnt paying close enough attention.
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Its not.. Dundalk usually does well with these storms.. Downtown Baltimore seems to get an urban heat island effect...
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the gfs shows huge snow 14 inch+ keep an eye out
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you will see several inches..
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Not sure if someone answered but it is a text output of hourly forecasted temps/ precip/ precip type.. I think it is the raw data from the GFS but not sure.
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I like when you say cyclogenesis
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yeah me too.. I am going for a long hike down in Patapsco to get my mind off of this
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Why? The Global models are consistently showing a major snowstorm
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I want to see you card...
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I would be watching the strength of the low more than the track.. I mean the track is important and we can get screwed with a LP center over Annapolis... but I think if we get an early bomb off the coast of SC... that can act to draw in more cold air.. but I am not sure how that all works
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The last 4 runs of the euro have been extremely consistent... the fact that r/s line is so close to the major cities is causing the totals to vary so much in our backyards.. GFS has been consistent for the last 7 runs.
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Does anyone know what the thermals looked like heading in to 2009? I know it broke way colder than it was supposed to.. but I am curious to know how it was forecasted leading up to the event.
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Where did you live before 2016?
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you had to see around 20 inches in 2009 right?
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looking good for your area!
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@Ji the euro gave me back 13 inches. How much did you get?
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what? Wait... why? The gfs shows the most snow.. why not embrace it?
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I have been saying this since Thursday.. all the ingredients are in place for temps to fall right for us.. there is a ton of boom/ upside. I am pretty sure DCA gets warning level snow.. and that basically means everyone to the north and west gets a MECS
