Its still pretty bare with deep convection in Mississippi and Alabama. Looking at some soundings in the warm sector I'm not sure why that is either. There is an EML and associated CAP in the afternoon but nothing that would hamper convection that much.
You do have to wonder about the lack of a CAP Thursday and how that might allow junkvection to fire and contaminate the warm sector. Besides that, environmental parameters are off the charts. A potentially very potent setup.
NAM has the LLJ screaming across the threat area after sunset Wednesday. Certainly going to be tons of low level shear for storms to work with. Effective bulk shear is still on the low side. Sounding near the OKC area at 03z
Hodographs for Wednesday look nasty but 3km CAPE is poor in many of the soundings I’ve been pulling. That’s something to keep an eye on as we get closer
Latest run of the HRRRv4 has two areas of convection this afternoon. One in eastern OK and the other in E TX. The eastern TX storms look the most likely for tornadoes