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Leesville Wx Hawk

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Everything posted by Leesville Wx Hawk

  1. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Just FYI, ice storms suck and/ or heavy wet snow that cause power outages. We had a few over the years and it gets cold without power. .
  2. Leesville Wx Hawk
    You don’t want to be without power so I would not risk it. If you were guaranteed snow without ZR, that may be different. Good luck either way. .
  3. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Mike Maze going out on a limb and predicting 0.7” for Raleigh. I’m 4 miles north of RDU and if I don’t get at least 1.5”, I’ll be disappointed. .
  4. Leesville Wx Hawk
    We know who to now blame for RDU misery. I figured with Brick back it was akin to Red Auerbach lighting a cigar.[emoji12][emoji459][emoji3587] .
  5. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Glad you’re back Buckeye! We’ve missed you. Sorry you have been going through it, I take care of my mother who is elderly with dementia so I understand. .
  6. Leesville Wx Hawk
    RAH pointed out that this is an in situ situation without a well anchored high. Let’s wait for more runs to see if this somewhat verifies or if it is trending warmer. It may well be as we have seen this situation play out before. Always going to be a fight here in the southeast. .
  7. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Snow/sleet 5 miles north of RDU. Whitened ground. .
  8. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Storm 1 may not be too bad for significant icing south of Va. Storm 2 seems plausible for a possible Carolina Crusher. .
  9. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Good attitude and that may be what happens. A solid 1-2 inches would be fine. .
  10. Leesville Wx Hawk
    With that written, it will be interesting to plot the probabilities of the Ensembles over the next few days as was mentioned. .
  11. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s a bit early to throw in the towel. We still don’t know for sure about the true extent of the cold push and the timing and orientation of impulses. 0Z Operational Euro was quite bullish for example while GFS was quite different. We do have a favorable synoptic setup at the best time of the year- if you’re a snow lover. I am not a fan of cold weather unless it snows-let’s see how this progresses. We will have a better idea in the coming days. .
  12. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s old hat by now.[emoji12] .
  13. Leesville Wx Hawk
    18 z GFS not agreeing but doesn’t seem to follow Ensembles. We shall see. .
  14. Leesville Wx Hawk
    The big deal looking back is that the Triad wasn’t even close. I live just north of RDU and when I woke up, I figured we were in some trouble-we were. The problem was that the NWS only backed down to 6-8 inches and 3 hours later went to flurries. Southern Wake got about 2 inches. Wake county gradient was reversed for once. I went from a foot to flurries in my backyard. I cashed in plenty after that until recently.
  15. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It depends where you were in 93. We only got about 4 -5 inches of snow here just north of RDU after it rained all day. We got 21” of snow in one night in 2000.
  16. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I was 9 years old in Wilmington ( out sick that day) when we got 12.8” February 8th or so 1973. Jim Burns said that it was going to go from sleet to rain at noon on a Friday then it sleeted harder and started to snow about 4 pm. Snowed all night, sleeted the next day then ended as snow on a Saturday night.
  17. Leesville Wx Hawk
    We all appreciated your work GaWx!!
  18. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Y’all do realize that 98 percent of this forum needs to pull for it to be cold first and foremost. That has been the issue therefore all cold trends are good, if you want snow. Worry about precipitation specifics later.
  19. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s definitely worth noting however as you point out. If you trust just the GFS operational exclusively at this point, you’re failing to see the bigger picture regardless of outcome. .
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Yep, something to watch. .
  21. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Got a feeling you’re right but we still have hope.
  22. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Really good points being made here. .
  23. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Even that year it snowed like 4 inches one day at 34 degrees LOL. Not sure what RDU got but I was working just north of RDU. .
  24. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I feel ya on this. We were screwed in the 90s for sure. One time we had a winter storm warning and got nothing. Last night was a kick to the stomach but we will keep posting and hoping until early March.
  25. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’m guessing the European will be different but closer?
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