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ADB83

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Everything posted by ADB83

  1. ADB83
    Watching this very closely, this model has shown the solution for most of the last few runs. Other models are kind of all over the place. I was already fascinated by the AI models and the relationship to the traditional physics based ones. This is going to be a good test case it looks like. .
  2. ADB83
    Looked like we had a little coverage overnight, maybe a couple of tenths of an inch in Winston-Salem but it has created traffic havoc this morning on top of the previous winter weather .
  3. ADB83
    Just drove right by Bowman Gray Stadium. The trouble they’ve had putting on this race is pretty incredible. Roadways are wet but precipitation very marginal. .
  4. ADB83
    12z WN2. Has 2 “bullseye” zones to use the word incredibly loosely. Will be very curious to see if that’s where the most (any) accumulative snow falls .
  5. ADB83
    North Carolina should trademark the warm nose, no state owns it or does it like the Tar Heel state! We are the home of the warm nose. .
  6. ADB83
    Welcome back! Yeah, I think last good chance here for a bit as we look like we’re gonna warm up mid month. Have to get it while you can. I’ll take another inch and not complain. Maybe Raleigh can squeeze two or three they deserve it. .
  7. ADB83
    Usually about 8 PM. .
  8. ADB83
    12z WN2 .
  9. ADB83
    Euro AI was on this earlier than the physics based models. If it were to end up verifying to a light event from nothing that would be fascinating to me. .
  10. ADB83
    We’re back! Looks like some warmth might be coming in behind this at least for that time between the 10th and 15 February…at least. So let’s get it while the getting is good. .
  11. ADB83
    Don’t want to be in the bull’s-eye this far from that monster storm. It’ll be in the foothills by Tuesday night. What might’ve been .
  12. ADB83
    Moderate, wind blown snow in Kernersville. I’d guess 6 inches of snow on the ground. Just watching it fall out the window! .
  13. ADB83
    The roads should be fine killed me [emoji1787] But seriously, still think there’s some late afternoon potential. I seriously doubt you get blanked. And there’s always the Valentine’s Day storm two weeks away. .
  14. ADB83
    Loving all the different viewpoints from the area thank you .
  15. ADB83
    Same. This will be so much more fun if the Triangle is able to get in on it .
  16. ADB83
    And that might be low they are going to be low for Greensboro for sure based on that map. Greensboro is going to be over 4 inches when all is said and done. .
  17. ADB83
    Continues to snow in southern Forsyth County. I think 5 inches but the NWS forecasted is going to verify. And could potentially be low .
  18. ADB83
    Might be too early to say, but the dry slot not as impressive as CAM modeling suggested. I wouldn’t throw in the towel yet in the triangle. .
  19. ADB83
    Thank you so much for sharing this! .
  20. ADB83
    I will never forget this storm. The big U shape is incredible. Also, don’t know if the NAM is the model that should be discontinued. .
  21. ADB83
    I wouldn’t be so worried about it since the models have been erratic to be kind. But you’ve got meteorologists that I trust that I’ve been saying the same thing and are worried about somebody from the triad to the triangle getting blanked. .
  22. ADB83
    I think East Central North Carolina coastal plain can do really well, but if you’re looking for your most reliable spot that’s gonna hit it has to be Charlotte which is wild to say .
  23. ADB83
    I’m in Greensboro so I’m equally susceptible to the dry slot. I’m just not going to trust a model that has been this all over the place every run without more consistent guidance elsewhere.. I do know that there are some very good Meteorologists that also are seeing this potential but the HRRR which is clearly been drier than ground truth and the NAM, which has been bipolar today are not gonna be sending me off the cliff. At least not yet .
  24. ADB83
    I’m going to come and ensure you guys up with a little science. The NAM has basically just been going back-and-forth all day posting the opposite solution every other run so if you just wait until the next run, everything’s gonna be just fine .
  25. ADB83
    I’ve seen Winston-Salem get everything from 2 inches to 13 inches in the last 45 minutes. That’s this storm. What a roller coaster. .
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