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ADB83

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Everything posted by ADB83

  1. ADB83
    CMC and GFS very similar. I don’t think I’m getting 14 inches of snow in the Triad. But 6 to maybe pockets of 8 to 10? Starting to feel doable. Don’t know about likely but doable. .
  2. ADB83
    Raleigh is in position A. CMC looks like a big hit for them too. Congratulations to the coastal folks. I would take the GFS at the CMC in a heartbeat in the Triad and gladly forget the NAM existed .
  3. ADB83
    GFS really going to stick to their guns here. That is a very nice statewide win and here in Winston-Salem I would gladly take that snow and let the coast celebrate those big numbers. .
  4. ADB83
    I feel like that area is in a good spot no matter what. Would take a major change to change that. .
  5. ADB83
    Great run for Raleigh east. Not a great run for the Piedmont triad or south central VA. It’s also NAM out of its range. .
  6. ADB83
    I don’t really trust NAM at the range we’re getting to, but watching trends is important. If it’s on board too, it’s still a positive .
  7. ADB83
    Each of the last 3 runs of that model have trended toward that solution .
  8. ADB83
    6z WeatherNext 2.0 .
  9. ADB83
    I look at all of them, but will definitely weigh WFMY heavier than the others. .
  10. ADB83
    I wouldn’t complain, but beggars can’t be choosers and snow has been scarce so if you would give me 6 inches of fluffy white powder right now I would take it .
  11. ADB83
    These high end totals are very nice, and it’s on the table realistically for someone. But honestly I’d take 4-6 inches and call it a day .
  12. ADB83
    0z WeatherNext 2.0 .
  13. ADB83
    Still waiting on the WeatherNext 2.0 map. I refuse to ask Gemini. .
  14. ADB83
    Oof. This is a good run. I didn’t really think the Euro was gonna do this. They’re really gonna suck me in here. .
  15. ADB83
    What I said, but with a pretty map lol .
  16. ADB83
    Euro AI wetter .
  17. ADB83
    GFS doing heavy lifting on that number, but not totally on an island. .
  18. ADB83
    He was burned by the 24 hour major snowstorm to freezing rain Euro flip last week right about this time actually so he’s probably just waiting for this period to pass until it’s safe. I am too lol .
  19. ADB83
    I need to see the Euro move back to more moisture before I commit to getting sucked in but I’m leaving myself open to get sucked in .
  20. ADB83
    Watching the ICON and the GFS run back to back is just the ultimate roller coaster
  21. ADB83
    GFS doubling down for all the weenies. Which includes me. .
  22. ADB83
  23. ADB83
    I’m not going to mention the end of the NAM run because it’s hour 81 but I’m also not not going to mention it .
  24. ADB83
    Yeah, I don’t think anyone in the Carolinas or NE and eastern Georgia is out of this yet. We’re still 3 1/2 days away. It’s going to feel like a lifetime too. .
  25. ADB83
    I think all I can say with any confidence is at least measurable snow has become more likely for most of North Carolina. If you take the runs both the deterministic and the ensembles, and yes, AI has a seat at the table now too I suppose, I think miserable snow has become more likely for a good portion of the state. Still have to iron out the details and there are a lot of details still, but that seems to be a growing model consensus and even an increasing confidence from local Mets, etc. .
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