Jump to content

ADB83

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    215

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ADB83

  1. ADB83
    It’s still snowing lol. .
  2. ADB83
    18z WN2 with its most aggressive run so far, but continues to concentrate the heavier precipitation field in the same general area. It’s consistent. I’ll say that. .
  3. ADB83
    Totally agree lol .
  4. ADB83
    My scientific explanation for the 18z Euro suite is that the European model has a personal beef with Wake County, North Carolina…and they want Wake County to know that it’s personal. .
  5. ADB83
    14% chance in Greensboro is pretty wild. I’ve seen nothing to indicate that is even remotely a double digit possibility. But they are the professionals. Really interesting to watch them take the same data that we all have and assimilate it .
  6. ADB83
    Piedmont Triad sitting 50 miles from glory. I don’t hate it. Or just give me literally what the Euro shows and I won’t hate that either .
  7. ADB83
    The new king WN 2.0 also has a 2/5 threat next week. This is fun .
  8. ADB83
    HRRR much less dry at 18z .
  9. ADB83
    Count me as also confused at what Raleigh is looking at, but I did look, and it does look like recent information. They’re the professionals .
  10. ADB83
    12z WN2. This model seems pretty locked in on a version of this solution plus or minus a few inches to the far east .
  11. ADB83
    The ratios are different. You need to use Kuchera for this storm .
  12. ADB83
    If I’ve got to hug one model and ignore the others I don’t mind it being the Euro. .
  13. ADB83
    This is a tough forecast. Winter in the Carolinas and GA is elite level difficulty for mets .
  14. ADB83
    If this goes the way, it looks like it might. I’m gonna have to stop equal weighting the GFS with the other globals. It might be time to admit that it’s lesser tier and to stop considering it on the same level. .
  15. ADB83
    Lower outputs today. Objectively for most. If you’re far enough west and south or far enough east you’re probably feeling good. Everyone else is rightfully nervous. I also don’t have a good feeling at the moment .
  16. ADB83
    This is a very fine line. A slight adjustment is boom territory or not so boom. I’d take the median and be thrilled .
  17. ADB83
    Not weenie numbers but I would take it right this second .
  18. ADB83
    Because two runs ago the only people getting snow were potentially Bermuda .
  19. ADB83
    It’s a big flip from what it was doing a couple of runs ago. I can’t speak for the too distant past, but I know it did well last storm. .
  20. ADB83
    What’s interesting about this run is it’s the polar opposite of what that model has been doing. Nobody has been quoting it in a thread because it’s been the worst case scenario for days. Until now apparently. .
  21. ADB83
    Guys business is about to pick up in here. Not that it should be any surprise [emoji1787] .
  22. ADB83
    [emoji1787] .
  23. ADB83
    The dry slot seems inevitable. It’s just a question of where. Most likely spots are the Triad and the Triangle and slightly east of the Triangle. But it’s the $1 million question. .
  24. ADB83
    I agree, but I actually think both points are valid. There is still considerable uncertainty, even this close to the event. Dry slots look likely now, but this is not gospel as to exactly where. .
  25. ADB83
    It’s supposed to be decommissioned this year so you may not have to either way lol .
×
×
  • Create New...