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ADB83

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Everything posted by ADB83

  1. ADB83
    If I’ve got to hug one model and ignore the others I don’t mind it being the Euro. .
  2. ADB83
    This is a tough forecast. Winter in the Carolinas and GA is elite level difficulty for mets .
  3. ADB83
    If this goes the way, it looks like it might. I’m gonna have to stop equal weighting the GFS with the other globals. It might be time to admit that it’s lesser tier and to stop considering it on the same level. .
  4. ADB83
    Lower outputs today. Objectively for most. If you’re far enough west and south or far enough east you’re probably feeling good. Everyone else is rightfully nervous. I also don’t have a good feeling at the moment .
  5. ADB83
    This is a very fine line. A slight adjustment is boom territory or not so boom. I’d take the median and be thrilled .
  6. ADB83
    Not weenie numbers but I would take it right this second .
  7. ADB83
    Because two runs ago the only people getting snow were potentially Bermuda .
  8. ADB83
    It’s a big flip from what it was doing a couple of runs ago. I can’t speak for the too distant past, but I know it did well last storm. .
  9. ADB83
    What’s interesting about this run is it’s the polar opposite of what that model has been doing. Nobody has been quoting it in a thread because it’s been the worst case scenario for days. Until now apparently. .
  10. ADB83
    Guys business is about to pick up in here. Not that it should be any surprise [emoji1787] .
  11. ADB83
    [emoji1787] .
  12. ADB83
    The dry slot seems inevitable. It’s just a question of where. Most likely spots are the Triad and the Triangle and slightly east of the Triangle. But it’s the $1 million question. .
  13. ADB83
    I agree, but I actually think both points are valid. There is still considerable uncertainty, even this close to the event. Dry slots look likely now, but this is not gospel as to exactly where. .
  14. ADB83
    It’s supposed to be decommissioned this year so you may not have to either way lol .
  15. ADB83
    6z WN2. Definitely shifted south slightly. But pretty consistent run to run. Fascinated to see how it does. .
  16. ADB83
    I’ve always believed in my location 4 to 6 inches would be a good score. It starts to become more real realistic that that is a good baseline forecast and that alone has me pumped. I’ve never believed the weenie runs although I do still think there is potential east of me for someone to jackpot. Someone’s gonna get screwed too, it always happens. Regardless I just love this stuff!! .
  17. ADB83
    I saw some local meteorologists start saying this yesterday evening and it looks like they were picking up on something. A lot of dry air and there are gonna be some dry slots to deal with that will set up somewhere. It’s never easy here. .
  18. ADB83
    0z WN2 .
  19. ADB83
    .
  20. ADB83
    0z Euro .
  21. ADB83
    UK, last global insisting on a virtual miss, throws in the towel. Beautiful .
  22. ADB83
    i’m convinced the NAM model hates me. It’s personal. It knows it’s me. .
  23. ADB83
    18z WeatherNext 2.0 .
  24. ADB83
    I’m very familiar with my area’s climatology so I will never shake my skepticism entirely. But we’re getting closer and closer to the game time. This feels like a real shot here. .
  25. ADB83
    18z Euro man… wouldn’t that be wild if all of North Carolina saw that kind of result?! .
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