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ADB83

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Everything posted by ADB83

  1. I’ll take 5.6 inches in Greensboro and call it a day. NAM and UK are kind of on an island here. Seems like some of the mets are partial to the NAM solution and then others to the rest of them .
  2. It actually looks like the NAM 3k or at least resembles it. We have a model war shaping up. .
  3. That’s my preferred method. Which is why I’m riding with the ICON from 3 days ago. I just toss all the runs from the other models, including all the ones from the ICON after my favorite run .
  4. A lot of the short range models are starting to look like each other. And then there’s the NAM lol .
  5. Looking forward to all the pictures, especially from the coastal peeps. Enjoy, and share the love! .
  6. If the NAM 3k verifies central South Carolina rejoices and North Carolina has tons of milk that goes bad. This would extend the 2608 day streak in Greensboro of no snow falls above 4 inches .
  7. 12z HRRR still solid, less amounts but I wouldn’t complain. Also sticking to the idea that the whole state of North Carolina is going to at least cash something .
  8. Triad looks like we will get a nice snow. Not a crazy amount, but we have a decent chance to break our consecutive days in a row streak without a 4inch snowfall. For Greensboro it’s been 2607 days. So that’s nice! Hope ENC and the upstate score big! Good luck, everyone! .
  9. It’s so easy to get caught up in model totals and dry slots when they’re not gonna mail it to the exact mile. I can’t remember the last time you could say that any single person in the state of North Carolina, a lot of South Carolina and a good portion of southern Virginia and East Georgia are a good bet to get 2 inches of snow .
  10. If you’re in the Triad, you’re rooting hard for the HRRR. If the NAM verifies we’re the big losers (but still with 3 inches of snow [emoji4]) .
  11. 18z WN2 with its most aggressive run so far, but continues to concentrate the heavier precipitation field in the same general area. It’s consistent. I’ll say that. .
  12. My scientific explanation for the 18z Euro suite is that the European model has a personal beef with Wake County, North Carolina…and they want Wake County to know that it’s personal. .
  13. 14% chance in Greensboro is pretty wild. I’ve seen nothing to indicate that is even remotely a double digit possibility. But they are the professionals. Really interesting to watch them take the same data that we all have and assimilate it .
  14. Piedmont Triad sitting 50 miles from glory. I don’t hate it. Or just give me literally what the Euro shows and I won’t hate that either .
  15. The new king WN 2.0 also has a 2/5 threat next week. This is fun .
  16. Count me as also confused at what Raleigh is looking at, but I did look, and it does look like recent information. They’re the professionals .
  17. 12z WN2. This model seems pretty locked in on a version of this solution plus or minus a few inches to the far east .
  18. The ratios are different. You need to use Kuchera for this storm .
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