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SUNYGRAD

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  1. Some ideas of precip types this afternoon over Triad. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/index.php?model=href&product=cref_pb40&sector=se&rd=20260125&rt=1200.
  2. It is possible, but many surfaces are already cold and depending how much snow/sleet you have, it could exacerbate the situation, some trees----like pines.
  3. Sure, is great news in general at this point. Duke is similar.
  4. I hope I hear thunder with frontal band today, so I can get really excited for the next storm and the snow within 10 days.
  5. Just a testament of how strong the damning event was and is. We don't always get this scenario in Carolinas.
  6. Just 5 miles SW of Winston Salem, had snow/sleet mix mainly overnight. About 3/4 of inch and 16 degrees.
  7. I think this idea is good but wonder if too dry and the frontal boundary precip at end of event for Triad----more freezing rain? Mix??
  8. Cataloochee Ranch - Resort Cams. A little bit of snow falling at high elevations in NC for sure.
  9. Not sure any one model is totally correct at moment.
  10. ...still strong CAD signal representation this hour.
  11. Surface temps are too cold at GSO on HRRR and some others according 12Z sounding at GSO. About 5-degree difference on HRRR and 4 versus NAM 3K.
  12. RGEM is a tad too warm at 850 on 6z run according to SPC analysis in western third of NC.
  13. Who remembers using LFM and facsimile for maps in ether school or work? I was remembering following storms, and it cracks me up with all the data now, it is still tricky.
  14. MY opinion----I think the NAM maybe a reasonable depiction----maybe too dry in NC. I would not automatically discount. Perhaps scattered precip on Sunday for several hours. The FV3 and HRRR (if you look southwest) maybe picking up on idea.
  15. My local electric company is referring to the storm as "Winter Storm Fern." for heads up on preparations.
  16. I like to see all of the 12Z model and ensembles, but the drier solution for NC is possible.
  17. Any Miller B storm can be tricky, let alone a weaker system. There could be some wrinkles yet to come.
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