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snowmaker

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Everything posted by snowmaker

  1. snowmaker
    When cold starts showing up inside day 10 it gets alot more realistic that it may be latching onto something. Hopefully it will continue and expand in the next few days of runs. If we are truly going to get colder and get that full latitude trough in late january we should start to see models converge on that idea pretty soon. Watching the DT video this morning he thinks a overrunning situation is in the cards as we move into late January.
  2. snowmaker
    Yes we just need to get something within 5 days while things change within 5 days many times they are not as drastic as models figuring out past 7 days. The good thing in this pattern if we do get a good one it's liable to sneak up on us 3-4 days out of possibly a little sooner. I could see something pop up 3 days out of the blue in the pattern we are in.
  3. snowmaker
    Seems like we are losing that big ballyhood cold air, sure hope some type of system gets together for us soon. Looking at models seem like we can't get the system when it's cold enough and when we get the system it warms up. This pattern has been good for east tn and especially parts of oklahoma and texas but all the polar vortex strat hype hasn't bought much cold yet. I know we are just now approaching mid month but nothing solid appears on the horizon and temps don't look that cold and the storms so far have been going south without any nw trends much to speak of. Going to quit the rant weather will do what it's going to do but the models can't figure out what is going on from one run to the next it seems.
  4. snowmaker
    I think the new GFS Para had a good hit for TN on it's last run but it doesn't run as the much as the regular GFS. And yes the GFS has been all over the place this year with storms. Not good at all.
  5. snowmaker
    12 euro did come back nw some there, it had less of a punch but it did come back northwest some. But right now I am preparing for being 0-2, first wave didn't even get rain in my area and there was a scant flurry it you looked real hard this morning. Otherwise nothing, but at least I was expecting anything from wave 1 and it actually did better for some than expected.
  6. snowmaker
    Just a little more nw move would be perfect.
  7. snowmaker
    The euro took the second wave further to the south this time. I am kind of glad it took the jog south instead of going nw even more. These things often tend to take a nw turn leading up to the event. I think we still have a shot with this second wave in west and middle tn, still plenty of time for a shift or a trend in any direction. But still being out 4-5 days I would still rather have it to the south of me versus north overall.
  8. snowmaker
    True, but it seems like all 3 models are kind a trending nw some. I agree the canadian has been the most steady, but it even seemed slightly more north the last run. No doubt there is still time for jogs either way but we are getting closer. I am just glad we got systems to watch.
  9. snowmaker
    Lock that in!
  10. snowmaker
    I am feeling good about wave 2, seems to be trending in a good direction at the moment. Still a ways to go, still time to get even better or worse but I am liking the direction at the moment.
  11. snowmaker
    NAM looked much better for middle tennessee that run. It's almost tracking nowcast time, at least we got something to monitor tomorrow evening through friday. Good luck folks!
  12. snowmaker
    It's gonna be SNOW! We got a shot, like the trends of today.
  13. snowmaker
    Actually feeling better about wave 2 now. No doubt could go a few ways but we at least have a shot and something to watch. Heck even wave 1 will be fun watching, I am sure higher elevations will get something from it if nobody else does.
  14. snowmaker
    Keep the play by play going weathernut!
  15. snowmaker
    Lets see what the euro does with wave 2 on this run.
  16. snowmaker
    I am watching wave 2, at least it made a slightly favorable move at 12, hopefully it's the start of a trend.
  17. snowmaker
    Yep, it somehow managed to throw a inch up around the clarksville area in nw middle and other spotty areas in middle tn before getting it's act together on the plateau and east tn.
  18. snowmaker
    I am hoping the ssw and the -nao can offset the mjo somewhat in this situation. Heck I can't keep up with MJO it seems to be a never ending chase as to what it is doing.
  19. snowmaker
    West and most of middle tn especially north of I-40 seem to be in bad locations so far this winter and even with some of these systems. Yeah, I hear folks with saying NW Trend and I have seen it many times myself but the second wave is even further south on early runs today. The first wave looks like southern middle and east tn in play. Good luck to you all. At some point with that second wave soon it needs to trend nw and so far it's going the other way for any of us to get in on. That second had promise for the rest of us in earlier runs but has trended away from us over the last 2 days. It would be nice for all of Tennessee to get snow, but it's hard to do these days. I am still excited about the pattern just started to see storm trends and so far they haven't been great for west and middle especially north if I-40. But maybe things will change, I know most on here are eastern tn guys so congrats to what you already have gotten with more looking possible. Just hope the rest of us in Tennessee don't swing and miss in a very good pattern
  20. snowmaker
    Maybe wave 2 on euro will be better in west and middle tn.
  21. snowmaker
    Well for my area and most of west and middle tn I don't understand why we would want it to go further south. With the 2nd storm the track is good for west and middle on the euro, why would we want it to go south. I know this is east tn primary forum but for most of tennessee that southern track looks to far south to me. Unless you are talking about east tn and north carolina then it may need to go south. Upon further reading I see your taking in the nw trend, I think.
  22. snowmaker
    Snow flurries in Montgomery County.
  23. snowmaker
    Hoping to see a few flurries or snow showers over here in northwest middle tn with these clippers. I have a feeling this may be the last good chance to see much snow flying the way it looks right now. Would love to at least get one more dusting before winter totally is gone. It hasn't been a good year for much of anybody, but east tn has done better than west or middle this year for sure. If I can't get any I hope the eastern part of the state can cash in.
  24. snowmaker
    Sky is mostly clear here in northwest middle tn at the moment.
  25. snowmaker
    Yep my low here was initially forecast for 31 and then it went to 33 but I see where it is now back to 31 for tonight. Just need a little more moisture that way. Temps just a degree or 2 one way or the other is going to make a difference, especially on the plateau and valley areas.
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