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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    I take it the HRRR is handling this well so far? SREF plumes have moved up again. They dropped to around 5” and moved back to 6”.
  2. Ahoff
    NWS is tightening the range. Went from high to low of 1-11" to 2-7".
  3. Ahoff
    That’s good news. Hopefully, it holds.
  4. Ahoff
    Not as good, but still a win, in my opinion.
  5. Ahoff
    WWA for 2-4”. But the NWS is officially 3-7” with a point total of 5.1”, so…
  6. Ahoff
    Let’s hope HRRR is on the money.
  7. Ahoff
    That's a good sign at least, to start.
  8. Ahoff
    Which model is that? Names's cut off. Either way NAM is a decent storm and HRRR is really great. At least the good look at the start is still on the HRRR at hour 34. Still a chance a decent one.
  9. Ahoff
    NWS has upped Pittsburgh expected to 4” and the range from 3-8”.
  10. Ahoff
    I think I'd rather have the short term models on our side at this point, than the globals. But we'll see if they hold.
  11. Ahoff
    The 12z HRRR doesn't look too bad from hours 40-48, it put down 4-5" over those 8 hours, and there's still more it's showing. I know it's at the edge of it usefulness at that point, but if it hangs on it could be decent. NAM 12z isn't terrible, but the precip shield falls apart completely by hour 50. Kuchera is around 5".
  12. Ahoff
    Yeah, this is unfortunate. Somehow we always get screwed, whether north or south.
  13. Ahoff
    The last frames of the HRRR look like they could incredible as long as it moves into our area.
  14. Ahoff
    It was about 2.5” officially at KPIT. Pretty good day today. Let’s cross our fingers for good trends this weekend.
  15. Ahoff
    Good news is NWS upped the limit through 7 am Monday from 8” to 9”.
  16. Ahoff
    NWS has the first call through 7am Monday with 5” in Pittsburgh. High end is 8”. Not sure that 7am captures the full storm though.
  17. Ahoff
    Also, it seems that solutions a few days out end up verifying more so that the days immediately preceding the event.
  18. Ahoff
    Honestly, if we hit 4” with Sunday-Monday, that’s a win for me. We’ve been severely lacking in that size storm lately. Anything more will be bonus.
  19. Ahoff
    I wouldn’t say it’s over, yet. Still a couple days to sort it out.
  20. Ahoff
    Isn’t GFS always the most amped and Euro the most muted usually? We might be in a pretty decent spot if that’s the case.
  21. Ahoff
    They upped the WWA to 2-5”
  22. Ahoff
    Shhh, don’t acknowledge it, lol!
  23. Ahoff
    That's great. Usually trends at this stage, don't go our way. Hopefully, that also holds true for Monday.
  24. Ahoff
    Wow, in the 2-4” range for tomorrow now. That’s unexpected.
  25. Ahoff
    Still looks good to me. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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