Dsty2001

I just can't buy into the NAMs solution yet 

If it's still showing the same solution tomorrow night then might have to take another L

I've not watched WATE in ages, but I remember them being astronomically bad at weather forecasts.

I have noticed in Greene Co as well a huge discrepancy in how much snow can fall over short distances.  I live on the western side closer to Morristown and have gotten several inches more/less than areas 10 miles away.  

Very good explanation, so essentially we are threading a needle here.

I know this is totally newbie questions, but from my understanding is we want the LP to be further south but not TOO far south?  

So Euro/Ukie are on one side and NAM/GFS are further north at this point?  I'm wondering if any model will nail this as complex as the system seems to be, how often does a system come down from the upper midwest, hit the gulf and bounce NE?

I'll take that 6 inches and be happy

What I find funny is everybody around my area is convinced we are getting a 93 repeat, and all I can do is shake my head and ask where the heck they are getting that information from.  Interesting enough a local news station was saying up to a foot is possible which threw me aback, the models don't seem to be in any agreement right now and honestly I don't think we will know for sure to right before the event starts

Any clue why the models are having so a hard time with this?  Matter of fact, seems like they've been struggling for the last year or two

6 minutes ago, ShawnEastTN said:

As modeled that would be a stout clipper.

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ohhh anybody have a clown map

Puking snow here in Greeneville

1 minute ago, Jed33 said:

Wow this last band really does mean business! I’m approaching an inch on the grass and still coming down pretty good nickel sized flakes right now!

Did it just move through for you?  Watching it on radar

The roads here in Greeneville are starting to ice over bad

Looks like a pretty heavy band extending from Knox co to Jefferson Co heading east 

Moderate snow/graupel falling in Greeneville rn, roads are wet and temperature is falling fast.  Definitely going to be some black ice issues tonight

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
432 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022

NCZ060-061-TNZ016-017-036-038>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-071415-
Cherokee-Clay-Hawkins-Sullivan-Anderson-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington-Northwest Carter-
Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-
Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-
Including the cities of Andrews, Marble, Topton, Hiawasse Dam,
Murphy, Unaka, Violet, Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Hayesville,
Tusquitee, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam,
Oak Ridge, Clinton, Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown,
Russellville, Bybee, Newport, Greeneville, Johnson City,
Elizabethton, Harriman, Eagle Furnace, Rockwood, Bradbury,
Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs, Lenoir City, Loudon, Bearden,
Knoxville, Lake Forest, Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains,
Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, White Pine, Happy Valley, Maryville,
Alcoa, Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour,
Pigeon Forge, Cagle, Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak,
Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton,
Dayton, Evensville, Old Washington, Grandview, Spring City,
Big Spring, Athens, Clear Water, Dentville, Etowah, Sweetwater,
Madisonville, Bullet Creek, South Pittsburg, Haletown (Guild),
Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, Powells Crossroads, Monteagle,
Chattanooga, Cleveland, Tasso, Conasauga, Archville, Benton,
Parksville, Reliance, Big Frog Mountain, Ducktown, and Turtletown
432 PM EST Thu Jan 6 2022 /332 PM CST Thu Jan 6 2022/

...Patchy Areas of Black Ice Overnight...

Periods of snow showers are expected to continue to impact
portions of the central and northern valley of East Tennessee. A
dusting to 1 inch of snow is possible over the next couple of
hours, north of I-40. With temperatures plummeting in the upper
teens to 20s, any wet spots on roads will turn to patches of ice.
This will create slippery conditions in some spots, especially on
bridges and untreated secondary roads.

Use caution if traveling overnight and Friday morning. Slow down
and allow extra time to reach your destination, and do not assume
that a well traveled roadway will be free of snow or black ice.

Forgive me if this radar is unreliable but it's depicting almost the same as WJHLs.  That area around Knox/Jeff city and the further west snow was not as pronounced just 30 minutes ago.  Funny enough, the WJHL future radar was hinting that this would fill back up.  So maybe?

WTH?  Since my last post the radar filled in nicely to my west LOL

Looking at latest radar trends, that looks to be about all she wrote folks

Oh well, the East TN curse just keeps on giving lol

Looks like the snow hole is trying to fill in some based on wunderground and wjhl radar

My eyes could be deceiving me but looks like the back end is filling up some

I don't believe the radar is picking up all of the snow, seeing areas reporting snow where there is a hole in the radar?

On 2 future radars I am looking at (Not sure what they are based on) around 8pm it starts to look like a pivot giving eastern areas a bit of extended snow.  I'm not giving up hope in Greeneville just yet

2 minutes ago, Vol4Life said:

Going back to your original line of thinking yesterday.  Don’t see how temps are going to warm up too much today.

I'm not buying it, unless there is a dynamic at play I don't understand it doesn't make sense.