Dsty2001

Oh lawdy 

I've got a chaweenie who has never experienced a proper snow, hoping I can toss him in up to his head tomorrow and watch my bigger pit and him play in it lol

17 minutes ago, dwagner88 said:

Just looked at the GFS. Almost had a stroke.

You had me curious, now I am about to have a stroke lol

Wonder if the system is more robust than what the models are initializing at, could have big ramifications downstream

You would think the closer to the event the models would reach a consensus but alas, same model crap different storm

So checked the difference on the WWA and WSW for Morristown/Greeneville. Morristown is under a WSW and it says "2-3 inches" while Greeneville is under a WWA for "1-3" inches.  

Just now, jrips27 said:

Any suggestions on a good place to head up to tomorrow night? Might take a trip up from Atlanta. Looking for maximum snowfall obviously  decent sized town not too far off the interstate would be nice.

I trust y’all’s knowledge of the terrain and sweet spot. Thanks y’all! 

 

Somewhere on the Cumberland Plateau would be my best guess but I'll defer that to somebody with more knowledge of the Plateau

Not sure one run constitutes a trend, but lets hope no more runs follow suit

Maybe it's just wishful thinking but it seems all the models are trending snowier with each run *knocks on wood* 

So we are around 36 hours from the event, some decent model consensus, the NAM doing its typical tease, what could go wrong lol

Please let the NAM verify Please let the NAM verify Please let the NAM verify Please let the NAM verify Please let the NAM verify Please let the NAM verify 

6 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

No one gets mad at the weather guys when they predicted 2 inches and we get 6.


.

Well, none of us would anyways lol

I understand MRX's desire to be conservative, but do they expect that much snow loss due to ground temps or are they just ignoring latest model trends?

With those rates and the temp crashing, I wouldn't imagine there being a huge issue with snow loss due to warm ground.

3 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

I think nws is downplaying this to much I may be wrong we shall see.

MRX's favorite statements are "too warm to stick" or "high sun angle"  Don't get me wrong, in a lot of cases they are right.  But I also seem to remember many cases it's bit them in the butt.  I've watched a foot of snow fall after nearly a week of temps in the 70s when I lived up in Maryland

I'd be happy to just see some flakes falling in March, anything else would be a bonus

They really need a better color selection for these maps lol

Is there snow maps for the 12z Euro, I can't figure out where to access them

GFS still showing some snow around the 13th

Still looking like some possible snow around Mid March

Flash flood warning for Greene Co.  It's raining cats and dogs rn

Ill begin building the ark

My Sister from another mother said she passed through Camp Creek earlier and it was howling like a hurricane

47 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

It was a model we invented (Thunder In  the Mountains) based on the old saying that thunder in the mountains in winter means snow soon. 

It's funny, I remember my grandpa ranting about this when I was a kid and he seemed to predict snow better than the local mets lol