Prospero
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Was very surprised to see a Moderator jump in that one. But I'll do my best to not refer to one of Mother Earth's tropical storms as a female or male. Although "it" really sounds inappropriate to me. But hey, I'm not a pro met. Funny the silly things that drive people crazy. Does that mean weather is not part of a global living entity that all interconnects of which we belong? Side note: Is there a higher resolution NHC graphic than what they put on on their Home Page: I like to super-impose the current sats over it to see exactly where it is in relation to the guidance. Of course it is a bit distorted as well, so have to distort my sat screenshots to fit the land borders...
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Thought I saw one, but now I don't. I added the term "displaced" to my storm vocabulary this year. Maybe 2020 is a displaced year altogether...everything is an illusion...what we see now is from 2019 and life shear made it appear in 2020, but it's really 2021 and 2020 is already past.
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To this day, 51 years later I still think about how I would have been one those people clinging onto to floating debris being pulverized by waves and downed trees and broken houses, boats, etc. I had already wanted to be a meteorologist by the time I was 5. (Never hit that dream...) Now with the right job, you can get paid to be one those people on live TV.
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I think I've watched more YouTube videos of the derecho this year than tropical storms and hurricanes.
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I should mention the oldest hurricane I am aware of is the one that tossed the Virginia Company's "Sea Adventurer" into Bermuda in 1609. Thus the Shake-Speare play "The Tempest" was based on that story, and of course Prospero who created that hurricane in the play was based on Dr. John Dee who it was rumored brewed up a storm that helped England beat Spain in a sea battle. Just sayin'...
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I am a Baconian.
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Looks like it is taking a significant jog to the north, at least what an untrained is seeing.
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Few days out, my uneducated guess is farther east by quite a bit.
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The Skyway Bridge fishing pier on Tampa Bay had a 41 mph gust today during a passing line of thunderstorms that may be remotely related to Marco. Looking at other wind reports, I don't see anything near that close to Marco in the northern GOM. We had a 36 mph gust here in Gulfport, Florida and 38 mph gust on Clearwater Beach during the same band of storms. That is really not uncommon during the thunderstorm season here. But I do think Marco was moving the storm flow across Florida from a distance, even though I may be wrong.
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Watching the latest convection fire up. Not holding my breath. What a roller coaster.
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As of the 5:00 PM update, in Gulfport, Florida (Tampa Bay area), we are 287 miles from Marco and have enjoyed a stiff breeze all day, winds from the SE at 10 to 20 steady with gusts just over 30. Some rain and thunderstorm are passing by on the Gulf, it's raining right now in fact. I would imagine we can't call these "bands", but Marco's presence is felt already here. Not expecting much more, but the breeze is nice...
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Little Marco eye:
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Guess we'll be watching this one more carefully on the Florida Gulf Coast. Couple shifts east and it could surprise a lot of people.
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I don't know that I've ever seen such a wide range of models; from basically nothing to hurricanes or at least tropical storms early next week. It's not like Monday is very far out.
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I guess this would have our attention if were like this next Monday:
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The east wind has been in our forecast for weeks, still waiting. It is "supposed" to start raining in the afternoons again this week. Orlando area is one of my favorite places for watching storms. Any direction from a good balcony view at any of many comfortable hotel rooms in late afternoon they are very spectacular. Forget Disney and Universal (where you might get drenched for 15 to 20 minutes at a time), it is a storm watching visual paradise, especially in late afternoon/early evening. You got more of Isiais than we did for sure!
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Just had Storm Fitters come by yesterday to give an estimate on some storm protection for windows that we have always used plywood on. We pay $100.00 a month for storage space mostly for the plywood that is ten years old. We can't leave it in our backyard shed as termites and ants would eat it up. But at more than $12K over ten years, it is very expensive plywood. Glad we had it for Irma though. Bummer that they are 8 to 10 weeks out for delivery if we approve the estimate... But we still have the plywood. Here in Gulfport, Florida we have received about a 1/4 inches of rain in the past few weeks. This is supposed to be our rainy season, and it is almost over except the passing tropical storms. We need really rain. A couple miles north of us, they get rain every day. UGH. BTW, this forum keeps me entertained, even when nothing is brewing! Better to be bored with friends than watching radar all day alone and waiting for a thunderstorm to pop up.
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2004 - What a year in Florida on the Gulf Coast! Charlie, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne that stand out. And if I remember right there were other storms that brought in flooding rain and over-the-top high tides. We'd get over one, and then prepare for the next. Jeanne was the biggest PIA that year as far as power outages and home damage in the Tampa Bay area, but Charlie and Frances had their impact as well. It became annoying as all get out!
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Waves off of Africa are the main focus, but what about storms that form in the Gulf of Mexico. Living on the Florida Gulf coast, seems like these are the ones that catch us off guard and throw us into a sudden preparation. Do the models for this year suggest anything out of the ordinary? The SST Anomaly is above average right now in a large part of the Atlantic. But what about other factors beyond my limited knowledge?
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I sure miss the snowstorms myself. Staying up all night watching the snow fall past the streetlights and studying the snow drifts as they got deeper, wishing for "snow days" when I was kid, dreaming of being a meteorologist when I grow up. Even now at 60 years old, I still dream of being a meteorologist when I grow up. Now in Florida I stay up all night waiting for an outflow boundary to kick up a thunderstorm outside with amazing lightning or follow a tropical system for a week hoping we get "almost" destructive winds and at least interesting storm surges and big waves. (Two weeks without power and A/C after Irma has me much more conservative than before). Oh the hail storm in Colorado Springs in 1969 or 1970, what a thrill! Three feet of hail in our yard in August, the sound of the cashing and the roar I'll never forget. The flooding as it melted very quickly... Several hurricanes and tropical storms, ice storms in Michigan, spring floods in Virginia, so on. So many storms, so many happy memories. Yea, I am a sicko.
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Already stocked up here, but going to Sams Club for COVID teacher supplies and basics tomorrow anyway. This year it is all being about being a step ahead. Can never have enough toilet paper! LOL May buy another battery backup device for our CPAPs. A battery will not last long, but sure sucks when a 10 minute outage disrupts a good sleep...
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Kind of like saying we there will probably be a blizzard this winter in South Dakota?
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I would not be surprised to see a Gulf hurricane or two this season. In fact, it's probably likely.
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I only saw it once and briefly when my wife was on CNN and said, "Look at this!" I just thought what a horrible graphic, nothing matched up; streets, landmarks, etc., didn't see debris, down trees, wild surf, it just did not make sense. Lot of people fell for it, for sure. I just kept thinking it was a horrible graphics that did not makes sense. LOL
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West Coast of Florida tonight, looks like the bands are staying east of us. Tonight was the night we've been anxiously anticipating for a week now. Will go to sleep tonight relaxed, maybe slightly disappointed we didn't get a "tiny" bit more, but very happy we didn't have to board up the windows or even pick up the projectiles that decorate our backyard. Whew. Watched every WSW wobble, read every post on this and another forum, and stared at the Dorian spinning graphics for hours and hours, and hours. It's almost over for most of Florida. Power is out and going out on the east coast in scattered places, but I am sure few will be out for more than a day or two. Irma left this home without of electricity for over two weeks. Horrible couple weeks, but our house was still here and the two trees that came down with Irma missed our home.
