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Posts posted by Prospero
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10 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said:
Sock puppet eh. What show do I star in? I can't wait for my reviews! Based on the last couple of days, RI may be relative. What was seen a couple of days ago was voracious and unusual. We should, based on the recent imagery coming in, expect I. The guidance says we should see more intensity, the microwave and IR imagery is improving, the above post referenced by Windspeed and JasonOH was in particular an "oh, well then", moment. I am taking the same approach as the NHC likely is about to right now, in not jumping the gun and rapidly changing their thinking. Hours back, folks were saying, it may be a 1! What a joke! etc. We can't swing 1-4-1-ts-4-5!. I still think a cat 3 peak is the most likely scenario. Big cat 3, maybe upper end cat 3, with extensive surge impact. But right now I go mid cat 3. Outflow does look a lot better, and historical context suggests good outflow is key in terms of sustaining and maintaining a clean core, which appears, again above, to be developing. To the two earlier posters who said the nice things welcomed me--thank you :). It is nice to have a place to discuss weather without being looked as though I have three heads.
MU/CD
Beware the ghost of leroy!
A high-end experienced troll who may very well be paid a lot of money to add fire to this forum (and how knows how many more, and a possible professional troll)!
Not an idiot, which makes him more effective.But a sh*t stirrer by trade, and good at it. LOL
Welcome to this forum!
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2 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:
Delta is a triangle so I see it as inherently vaginal
Maybe it is my age, maybe my Freudian nature by birth, maybe my basic primitive artistic vision of triangles and phallic images everywhere I look. But yea, Delta seems female to me. I do have some very good friends who would be eager to put me in my proper and deserved place...
But I'd still see what I see.
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1 hour ago, Amped said:
My favorite part of being in the Greek alphabet was that nobody refers to the storm as "HE" or 'SHE".
Of course now someone did anyway.
Alpha/Beta, that's a relationship concept, equally both ways. Gamma, who the f*** knows. Delta, I'd lean feminine, only from the visual I have. To be honest, I'm waiting for Hurricane Pi to kick some serious ass whether people call it male or female!
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This is 2020, keep coming back, we'll see prophets of the end of the season, and those who predict 4s and 5s. Ultimately the final truth will laugh at us all.
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9 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:
Another chance for the media to forget western Louisiana
Nowhere fun to stay after the storms...
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18 minutes ago, bobbutts said:
Am I crazy or is this much more common than adjusting eastward? Seems like almost every storm has a predicted turn to the north that gets postponed many times.
Until the last moments anyway...
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14 minutes ago, Joseph Torre said:
Honestly, it's better that it keeps inching westward. If it hits areas recovering from Laura, there will be less damage, due to all the damage that is still left over from Laura. Hitting Lafayette or eastward would be another billion dollar disaster
Nothing like banging an already bruised shin. Ouch.
Better than banging the other one I guess...
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6 minutes ago, dan11295 said:
Need to see if/when the westward model trend stops. Few more ticks west Delta will be more of an issue for Lake Charles than Lafayette.
The spaghetti plots are inching westward.
http://flhurricane.com/modelanimator.php?storm=26&year=2020&title=26
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Reed Timmer video.
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Looks like power is back on at The Hard Rock. I've been eager to see the surf. Doesn't appear to be very high.
https://www.hrhcancun.com/webcam.htm
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8 minutes ago, dan11295 said:
Delta continues to exhibit extremely strong convection over land. Looks to be halfway across now.
Was watching three hours ago when the eye moved over land, so another three hours it should be back over water.
Edited: It may actually be a lot closer to moving over the water than I thought...maybe an hour.
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Was enjoyable watching Reed Timmer's live feeds this morning while they beat up their rental car.
https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmer2.0/
"They dodged a bullet" kind of says it all in their last feed.
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1 hour ago, Rtd208 said:
Reed Timmer Live.
Active live feed:
Sounds like their rental car has a bit of damage from bulldozing down palms!
Edited for new feed...
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Webcam at the Hard Rock is live. Power is still on, hard to see much but the rain whipping by:
https://www.hrhcancun.com/webcam.htm
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10 minutes ago, Calderon said:
You're trying to give points to a local forecast likely generated by a computer that they don't even really augment.
OK, let's say I am in Michigan, on my way to Cancun. I do not even know about AmericaMX, never ever look at NHC website, I'll think I'll be arriving for a vacation with a breezy day and have some tropical drinks. Because I check the Weather Channel website like most people do. UGH
Might end up at the airport all packed up ready to fly down and be cancelled (if lucky).
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2 minutes ago, Calderon said:
You're trying to give points to a local forecast likely generated by a computer that they don't even really augment.
Yea, IBM. LOL
Major Hurricane Delta
in Tropical Headquarters
Posted
I thought "ghost..." was trolling new poster Moderately Unstable who has good posts. He's better than me who is a poor poster yet with passion.
But me being new, this season I think (times so flies), "ghost of leroy" pops up a bit and I've been trolled.
Of course we all want Cat 5 storms every spin, but that is our nature but we cannot really say that. We really DO care about lives and costs.
But really, secretly in our minds we all want the biggest storm ever on every spin. Just who we are.