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Prospero

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Posts posted by Prospero

  1. 17 minutes ago, dbullsfan said:

    Seems like a lot of different routes all leading to impacts on the west coast of Florida, don’t get much action on this coast. 

    This year we have not even been in a single warning. That kind of makes it scary for us! 2020 is not over yet!

  2. 45 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

    Pretty sure the answer is no, for many reasons. Horrible area to chase, don't even know if foreigners can enter right now etc.

    Plus without reliable cellular or internet access, why be there. Videos uploaded days later would not have the views.
    From what I can tell there are no weather stations to see.

  3. 1 minute ago, Moderately Unstable said:

    (1) Entries are allowed until the aircraft is "in storm": within the storm's circulation. Assuming this radius to be 150mi, at a speed of 240knots, they have around a half hour. 

    (2) Should I allow guess updates (yes or no)?  

    Why not. It's not over until the fat airplane sings.

  4. 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said:

    wow.  what're the odds the season's last storm is its most powerful?

    unless, of course, the atmosphere intends to keep spawning storms through late fall...

    My guess is the odds are that this is not the last storm of the season.

    • Like 1
  5. 7 minutes ago, sojitodd said:

    It looks like the eye is directly east of that island per the post directly preceding yours...and that would put it only about 20 miles north of Puerto Cabezas. It had better not drift further to the southwest or it could go right over them. It will probably be bad enough as it is.

    It appears they did evacuate as much as possible based on a Sunday news report:

    Quote

    As a first step, the naval force and fishing companies are helping to evacuate the indigenous Miskito families living in the Miskito Cays, off the coast of the northern Caribbean, Sinapred director Guillermo González told the official Channel 4.

    https://ticotimes.net/2020/11/01/nicaragua-declares-preventive-alert-as-tropical-storm-eta-threatens

     

    • Like 1
  6. 1 minute ago, dan11295 said:

    I direct hit on the only population center in the area would be unfortunately, luckily not a whole lot of other population centers in that area. Hopefully most of the fain falls in the swamps.

    Hopefully Puerto Cabezas rebuilt stronger after Felix and might be lucky enough to be on the south side of the storm so the wind and surge will not have much impact.

    No chasers will be there I am sure. And news will take a while to get to us. So landfall will be all about sats and estimates. Maybe some weather updates, but we may not even see those.

    Of course the floods in the mountains and subsequent mud slides are a nightmare always.

     

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