NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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We had the bottom fall out during an earlier heavier return that sat over us. Sitting at 2.74” and still pouring Edit: 15 minutes later and we’re now over 3 inches. Crazy rates right now
- 28 replies
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- elsa
- tropical storm
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Northeastern Wilson County in central North Carolina... * Until 100 PM EDT. * At 1231 PM EDT, a tornado producing storm was located near Farmville, moving north at 35 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Edgecombe and northeastern Wilson Counties, including the following locations... Macclesfield and Pinetops.
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Very strong rotation just west of FarmVille. Something showing on CC too
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Up to a half an inch, but rain shield certainly seems to have eroded somewhat from this morning. Only light/moderate rain
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A lot rotation with cells in that line moving onshore in Wilmington (tornado warning) and extending offshore
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Sustained wind 41, gusting 54 in myrtle beach
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This same look moves through eastern NC this afternoon but with more heating in the afternoon and increased CAPE
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Debris ball showing up with this storm now…
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Flash flood watch out for all of central NC. 1-3” widespread with a swath of 3-5”
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I agree, given the building pressure gradient and dry air on the backside, any elevated showers should easily be able to give some wind gusts around 40 from the Columbia-Triangle east areas. Obviously nothing major but could cause a few trees or branches to fall
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I’ve seen discussion in multiple threads, so here’s one for the storm. Should be a good widespread rain across a lot of the area. Tropical storm wind gusts working up the coast. Should be some gusty winds with whatever remains of the core as it moves through the Carolinas and into Virginia. Tomorrow afternoon could feature a tornado threat from the SC low country in NC coastal plain
- 28 replies
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- 2
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- elsa
- tropical storm
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True to form for this system, after looking dead yesterday evening, has had another blowup of convection over the center, has tightened up and is coming ashore in a strengthening phase.
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Elsa is doing her best to to make one final run at strengthening. Some 70kt velocities showing back up last few frames, albeit at distance from Tampa. Also, a lot of lightning near coc last few frames. Definitely more organized now than at any point since it was south of Tampa
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Some of the guidance actually brings the heaviest rain west of Raleigh now, your way. Looks like a good soaker for much of the Piedmont
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I wouldn’t count this storm out yet. It’s literally done this every day just about since it was named. Gets going, starts to get an inner core, then gets disrupted by shear/land/dry air. It could cycle back quick with a new convective burst. Just one of those systems.
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Josh chased Don too…
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Honestly, the radar presentation looks like a typical afternoon sea breeze storm complex, lol. Knew this was a fragile core. Imo was definitely a hurricane multiple times earlier in the day, but absolutely not anymore
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If I was in the Tampa area I’d expect gusts of around 60. On the water front gusts should be 70, maybe a few hurricane force gusts. Certainly a bad wind direction for surge issues, I can understand the 3-5’ surge forecasts
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I love following tropical weather
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You look to be in an excellent spot for some storm watching on this one. Stay safe and I hope your power stays on. Get some videos for us
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For those in Tampa who’ve been clamoring for a hurricane on here, you’re going to get your wish. Looks like Tampa is going to get the brunt and it should be fairly long duration judging by angle of approach and the orientation of the worst weather. Obviously just a strong ts/weak hurricane, but always newsworthy when impacting a major metro area
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Man, this could be an interesting day Thursday. Runs keep moving the precip shield west, as I expected, and the area east of the track looks primed for some severe weather, possibly tornadoes as we often see. Long story short: there should be some very heavy rain (3-4 in) over a swath of central NC with an increasing tornado threat in the eastern half of the state
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FL winds around 75kt and surface winds around 60kt so far. Definitely on the cusp
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About to make the first pass through the rough stuff. I’m thinking we get a quick update statement separate from the 2pm if they find hurricane force winds
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Really thinking they’re going to find hurricane force winds in the NE quad. Looking as healthy on radar as it’s looked
