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NW_of_GYX

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Posts posted by NW_of_GYX

  1. 3 hours ago, powderfreak said:

    Looping the GFS and GEFS it is amazing how persistent the lower heights are around us and NW of here.  It gets some brief SW flow at times but its wet and active.

    Looks like it would be a great winter pattern.  Now we just get humid, clouds and occasional rain.

    This is our best imitation of winter 22-23 in the mountain west. Enjoy it 

    • Sad 1
  2. Re EAB and browntail comments. The biocontrol aphid wasp species are showing promising signs in the Midwest of building up enough population to control EAB and allow for the next ash crop to grow. It’s now being released all over New England including Maine. There is no expectation that current ash on the landscape will survive, although the relative remoteness of ash stands across NNE will likely slow the burn. I used to get browntail rash all the time working on wood lots in the mid coast and people thought I was crazy, it’s since exploded everywhere including my town for the first time this year. The outbreak will likely bust at some point but entomologists have no idea when. Successive cool wet springs and falls would allow the build up of various pathogens and fungal diseases that reduce their populations. On a brighter note it seems the gypsy/spongy moth outbreak in my area has finally waned after 3 years of defoliation. Invasive pests and plants sure have changed our NE forest ecosystems from their pre contact predecessors. 

    • Like 2
  3. 1 hour ago, tamarack said:

    Glad you added the lol.  Fire is the dominant factor in boreal (taiga) forests in both hemispheres.  A warmer, moister atmosphere leads to more lightning, which may shorten the intervals between stand replacements and possibly to some modification of species mix.  How this, by itself, would contribute to atmospheric CO2 is beyond my ken.  The more frequent stand-replacing fires would add more CO2 (and particulates) to the air, but CC might also increase growth rates in the forests of the North.

    While we’re at it, it would also be important to consider what if any impacts the recent i.e last 30 years of commercial timber management regimes in the far north has played here in terms of broad ecosystem impacts. Prior to the mid 80s nobody was cutting wood that far north into the Canadian Shield, that’s changed. Look at google earth, they’re cutting wood right up into the sub arctic. Point is, there are so many factors to consider. I don’t agree with attributing this to CC with blanket statements, as many have done. Who knows, maybe CC is the dominant driver, but we just can’t say that with certainty right now, there are too many other variables to consider. 

  4. 9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    Part of it is the images.  Everyone has a high quality camera in their pocket plus webcams etc.    when a major US city looks like Mars it goes bonkers level.   
    And you are right about the CC part being overblown but it might be a tiny piece.     
     

    Agreed on all parts. Anomalous weather phenomena can go both ways, and are used by folks to both affirm and deny CC. The danger in attributing weather events like this to CC is that it obscures the very real argument for CC based on long term trends and ya know, actual climatology. 

    • Like 4
  5. The social media hype machine is blaming this on climate change. I’m no CC denier, and this is an incredible event no doubt, but there’s probably been smoke that thick in NYC at some point in the last 13,000 years. 

    • Like 2
  6. 3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

    People have commented on the debris from up river that is going over the falls, They've seen Tents, Tires, Ice Shacks and numerous tress, Some one i know had a vid of a tree that was 4' in circumference or so at the base that went over the falls and he said it sounded like thunder when it hit the bottom.

    That's awesome. Some of the tribs around here are running close to Irene heights. I've never seen the Little Andro gauge above 3000 cfs but it broke it easily yesterday, almost hit 4000, and is still above 1000. 

  7. 26 minutes ago, dryslot said:

    The falls on the Androscoggin River here is quite angry, Lot of flooding going on after the 4-6" of rain over the last few days along with the snow melt in the mountains.

     

    Lots of damage throughout Western Maine. This exposed a lot of undersized infrastructure. Some culverts that were fixed after the December deluge washed out again. 

    • Like 1
  8. 9 hours ago, Angus said:

    As @NW_of_GYXsaid, everything was still open - btw, where is that picture you posted taken? 

    Stump shot glade. Love all that steep terrain around gondi line etc. Another fantastic day at loaf. Low clouds never made it up to the valley although you could see them just to the south. Today might have been warmer and calmer than yesterday. Just an unreal weekend up there! 
     

     

  9. 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    Today in solar time would be relative to season, roughly equivalent to August 27th.

    Right now it is 93 here ... which is about 15 F above normal for August 27th

    happening on April 14! 

    No matter how you cut this up it's sick.  This is a hot day in August

    What a torch. Wonder if this will be our biggest relative to climo for 2023. 

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