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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Yeah you prob don't want a 2015-esque PAC with that block....though we could use it slightly better than it is. It's downright horrific so the cold is pretty marginal, it's enough for snow threats though. It would be nice to insert a little more CP airmass into the pattern....if only to freeze up the water bars and ponds/lakes quicker. Something like a Jan 2011 Pacific....it wasn't obscenely cold that month, but consistent below avg.
  2. ORH_wxman
    Yeah his jackpot fetish will peek out if he has one of the higher totals in SNE....he'll be all over it if he rips 3" in a few hours while ORH is IP/ZR and Kevin is 33F rain.
  3. ORH_wxman
    If antecedent airmass aloft was like 2-3C colder, then it would be perfect.
  4. ORH_wxman
    If the Davis Strait block sets up like we've seen on the Euro and other guidance at times, then it's a decent snow pattern. It isn't cold at all, but it's enough to get plenty of snow threats because virtually any disturbance in the flow is going to run into the block and be forced underneath it unless there's some crazy phasing.
  5. ORH_wxman
    The rapidly developing secondary cold tucks the sfc behind it....so yeah, I don't think we're getting 55F on Sunday.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Look on the bright side....you prob just saw the worst cutter you'll see in the Dec 15-Mar 15 period you will see up there for at least a couple decades....lol.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Pike region may sleet bomb for a time....though Euro/Ukie are a bit colder and has a quick burst of mod/heavy snow for a couple hours. Kind of skeptical of the snow though unless we see another tick colder aloft.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Who cares about the damage....the snow pack melting is what really hurt in that storm.
  9. ORH_wxman
    The 2008 ice storm in ORH was like that....no snow or sleet before hand or during the event....even up in N ORH county like near FIT they had some sleet or sleet/snow mix for a time which whitened the ground a little. But down in ORH it was all "clear ice" on everything.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Def favors eastern areas for highest potential....track is near or just SE of benchmark. You'd get accumulating snow too though.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I’m sure you’ll breach 6” when you add in the upslope stuff. The synoptic stuff is good base-builder though even if it’s only 3 or 4 inches. It’s denser, especially if it’s borderline sleet or changes to sleet.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Yeah euro was snowier up there than 12z run. It’s not super different from 00z NAM up there...but down here it was. Euro had a period of snow down here while NAM is mostly sleet at the onset after maybe a couple flakes. You’d still prob change to some sleet or ZR near the end but not before most of the precip thumps you as snow. It’s not a very prolific system (prob advisory type snows from the synoptic precip) but it beats rain. Lol.
  13. ORH_wxman
    NAM did come in a little colder. Not quite as cold as the euro but colder than the 18z NAM. Bit of a sleet bomb for a few hours in the pike region. More snow into CNE.
  14. ORH_wxman
    It has a few hours in N CT from Kevin to your old stomping grounds before it goes to 33-34 rain. Nothing big but it doesn't take much to be dangerous for anyone driving.
  15. ORH_wxman
    prob starts around midnight friday night give or take a couple hours...might be 2 or 3 inches there? Hard to say...mid-levels warm quick, but sfc stays cold. Def some sleet and ZR in there.
  16. ORH_wxman
    The 1961 Xmas eve storm was pretty epic in parts of SNE. Over 20” in many areas.
  17. ORH_wxman
    18z euro tickled colder. Def more snow for CNE and NNE than the 12z run. Maybe a quick inch or so for the pike region too.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Kettlebrook is a great course... But back on topic. 18z eps still interested in 1/3-4
  19. ORH_wxman
    Charlton is def a pretty good weenie spot ...but there’s a definite difference between them and those places to the north of them we are discussing. Esp in CAD setups with icing and pack retention. It also sounds like runnaway can’t live in the total sticks, lol....so he’s gonna have to stay pretty close to ORH proper in this hypothetical scenario.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Paxton MA. The town west of the airport. 1200+ feet. Real weenie spot. The only pain with the west side and towns like Paxton is that it’s not near any highways for quick travel east (if you need to get to Framingham for example)...north side of ORH and towns along 190 would be better for quick highway access.
  21. ORH_wxman
    No the airport is not north. It’s west side over by Tatnuck Sq. Winter hill is north-northwest side near the Holden line.
  22. ORH_wxman
    And i was telling you +8 for two weeks isn’t close to record warmth. You’d need to go up a lot higher than that.
  23. ORH_wxman
    You’ll need like +14 or 15 for a two week stretch...which would require the Davis Strait stuff to disappear. Anything’s possible but I ain’t seeing it. Maybe Caribou.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Oh yeah...he will def want to PM me. There’s massive difference within the city...there’s a definite N to S gradient too overall but also elevation obviously.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Wolf not howling tonight?
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