ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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GFS is gonna be west. Not like NAM but may hit SE areas pretty good this run.
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ICON coming in a bit more amped again, though maybe not quite to the level of 06z run.
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Moist Absolute Unstable Layer to be exact for the acronym letters.
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RGEM is still mostly a whiff....clips the Cape and south coast.
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Nice dryslot for eastern areas
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NAM did pretty darn well actually with this past system. It was a bit too cold right on the coast if we're talking details, but it was surprisingly good with the synoptics.
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The SGZ issuper deep on the soundings.
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It's more like over your fanny to ORH this run if we roughly pin it on top of the 600mb WF.
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NAM is going to demolish SNE this run....that southern stream just went crazy.
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Yep, that southern strema isreally strong this run, it might make up for the northern stream not digging as much early on. By 60h, it has made up most of the ground already it looks like.
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Weeklies decided to finally punt on the idea of a warmup in late February. They are trying to torch March though.
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Yeah the northern stream is fighting it this run...not digging quite as much.
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Lol, I hot linked the 2nd image by accident....should be fixed now.
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EPS is pretty decent looking for the 2/9 threat
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Epic ice storm in MS/AL too leading into it.
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Nice bump W on the EPS too.
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Look at that meridional pattern near the end of the run
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Euro has kind of a typical SWFE for 2/9. Like 3-6 pike northward (and 6+ for CNE area in C NH to S ME) with 1-3 south and some ytransition to sleet/ZR (and RA on coast). At least that one has a really nice antecedent airmass so it wouldn't take too much gymnastics in the flow to keep it all snow.
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Yeah where you see those isotherms packed, you'd prob get a weenie band displaced NW of that...esp in a very tilted system like this one. The key is getting it close enough so the realy good band gets over land. It might get the Cape on this run (even though it doesn't directly show it on QPF)
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18 year anniversary...lets get a band that produces similarly.
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That has a sweet fronto-banding look on the NW side....get that just a tick west.
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Scraper this run...maybe 1-2 inches for a chunk of SNE....maybe low end advisory for far SE areas.
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Yeah it kind of slingshots around the northern stream in the lakes....it just needs enough room to do it.
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Euro is def west of the 06z run so far....we'll see if it is enough to get decent snows into SNE this run or if it is a scraper.
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It's the same system. Euro originally had it for Sunday night maybe into very early Monday morning. It is basically just sped up 8-12 hours on the current reincarnation.
