ORH_wxman

Yeah I’m actually cautiously optimistic that means a more active pattern going forward into winter. We typically don’t have long stretches of dryness here. I remember we had some really long dry stretches in late summer and early fall 2007 before it seemed to snap and we had that crazy active pattern go right into winter. Fingers crossed for something similar.

Most of the literature points to more extremes on the whole....but it's not evenly distributed. We will see less extreme cold going forward but more extreme heatwaves, more extreme flooding events (and by precip proxy maybe some more extreme snow events). The spacial distribution isn't very well-known either. Non-temperature attribution studies are generally some of the least confident in the science.

Yeah top of the list was 2/1/21....I think I had 17 inches in that one here while you had like 2-3 inches of slush mixed with rain. Even Norwood not very far west of you had 10 inches of mashed potatoes.

Hopefully rubber band snaps on the boring wx sometime next month and into winter.

Hubbdave was pretty epic in the 2014-2015 winter...."meh'd" his way to 115(?) inches of snow. I don't think he liked seeing all of those Scooter jackpots. But I will at least sympathize with him for the Jan 2015 blizzard where we got annihilated in ORH and he was choking on arctic sand exhaust just northwest of the death band. Hubbdave is a little more subtle though....you and Lavarock are co-captains of the Poo-Poo Pom-Pom cheerleading team.

No frost on the hill here but pretty solid frost once down at the bottom driving my boys to school/daycare.

That was the first weather event that started making me aware that CT River valley didn’t do nearly as well for snow. At my young age, I assumed the snow always just got better the further west you went. Then when I was skiing at wachusett later that same winter after the March ‘93 superstorm, I was sharing a chair lift with this woman from Springfield and she kept commenting that she couldn’t believe how much snow Worcester had all winter including that storm compared to Springfield. Once we had that convo, I was fully aware of the river shadow.

Nat gas was cheap globally when there were no supply issues/bottlenecks. But now that there are, we’re going to pay for it because we’re dumb enough to not have any infrastructure to deliver the domestic nat gas to us. It’s honestly embarrassing.

Me too. I remember every tropical update that summer. Hurricane Allison and Hurricane Erin were two of my favorites and then it felt like we were tracking Felix for an eternity as it teased the east coast a couple times before recurving. Hell I even remember some of he useless pacific hurricanes that formed off western Mexico and went to nowhere. Then you had threats way into October with Hurricane Opal…and by the time you were done with that, the snows started two weeks later in early November and we weren’t taking a Gatorade break until late April. It was like being a little kid in ToysRUS where your attention span never had a chance to suffer boredom. If the booms and busts of the late 80s/early 90s cemented me as a wx weenie, June 1995-April 1996 made me downright obsessed with weather.

Sounds like attendance at this one is going to be pretty good.

A lot of seasonal models have liked November to be pretty cold too....my hope is that it is skewed toward 2nd half of November and carries over into December.

Your 'hood is due for a good one....been kind of rough on the north shore of MA and sea coast of NH the last few winters.

The Franklin coop to the west of Walpole at 250-300 feet reported 28 inches....which I think is not totally believable, but you get the idea on the gradient. I could believe the higher spots in Walpole getting 18" though. The 12.9" from the coop was one of the lower spots at 170 feet. Those spots in Walpole at 250-350 feet prob did quite a bit better.

Still a few showers west near ME/NH border, but mostly done.

From my memory, you are correct about the forecasts leading into Friday and including Friday morning itself. What I recall happening though is an "over correction" by late Friday night where they assumed the R/S line would just keep collapsing SE to include the south shore and much of SE MA so they hoisted blizzard warnings right to places like PYM, but it actually stalled before getting there.

I think this reflects the totals a bit better....added the 20.3" up near Ray at Groveland coop and brought 20" contour a bit southeast into far western Norfolk county near Medway/Bellingham/Franklin. I added Walpole's 12.9" total too in there on the plot and Hopkinton's 28".

There was a huge directional gradient right around there (in addition to elevation which was obvious in that storm). I think Walpole had 13", then once you got up to around Hopkinton/Milford, it was 24-28", and then back southeast to near Attleboro as you said, it was single digits. I need to tighten up the gradient between Milford and Mansfield....the 20"+ was actually a bit southeast of where I have it on that map but then it goes from that to single digits really fast so I should make the map reflect that a bit better.

I actually have to extend that 20" contour further northeast to near Ray's current location (Groveland coop had over 20" from that event). I noticed it a few years ago but never updated it. Also have to extend it SE past my current area. The really tight gradient is near Walpole/Franklin.

Almost Halloween....time to give Scooter nightmares.

"I can't believe I got 12"!!!" (when every single model had an inch of QPF all snow with the dynamics to support it)

Both the reverse psychology and the over-zealous positive hype are manifestations of emotion over science and objectivity. They both degrade the integrity of the discussion from a scientific standpoint. Everyone is susceptible to it, but controlling it as much as possible will lead to more accurate forecasts and better dialogue.

Hype sells, but reverse psychology is also rampant on here. Just downplay and poo-poo every event so you can convince yourself that you are not "invested emotionally" in a winter or a storm threat.

Foxborough itself is actually not bad for snow....gets more than Boston does being southwest inland and a few hundred feet in elevation. If you want, say, another 10-15" per year and a bit better retention, then you'll want to move northwest of Foxborough out toward ORH...but as someone already said, that's a bit of a haul. IF you don't mind an hour commute though, then it works. Best spot near ORH is probably on west side in the town of Paxton or some of the high spots in Holden. My current area (Holliston/Hopkinton/Ashland) is a bit closer and maybe 30 minutes away but probably gets 10" more than Foxborough with better retention. Hopkinton esp is good because it has a lot of spots over 500 feet in elevation. Here's my crude SNE annual snowfall map i made years ago. Foxborough is basically halfway between BOS and PVD in that band of 50"+ that extends southeast from the main dark blue area.

What did you get there? About 30 inches in that storm? There were other storms that month too which were good over the interior.

Yes it was still a good event inland but we spent most of that storm watching messenger post about heavy bands down in that area. Ray made a comment about the storm being a little lame compared to a few of the meso model runs early that morning and messenger posts about how good it is down there and then Ray just goes off about cranberry bogs and nobody giving a crap about the 5 people who live there…LOL. Just classic.