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ChesterfieldVa80

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Everything posted by ChesterfieldVa80

  1. What are the thoughts on the sleet shown on the NAM for the Richmond area? With upper air cooperative wouldn't this be a rain or snow situation?
  2. Going to be tough to get more than 3-4" in the metro with this setup.
  3. Why are the ensembles so much snowier down here in the Richmond area? Is this skewed by an outlier or too?
  4. I'm surprised by the all of the snow/freezing rain wording in the point/click NWS forecast out of Sterling. Im specifically referring to Sunday and talking the northern Shenandoah valley. They even have it in the forecast for Highland County....
  5. It seems to me one of the best places to be for this one is out towards SW VA. All guidance seems to give that are a no nonsense thump of 7-12" followed by some light fluff
  6. Do you think the Richmond area is still squarely in the game? I appreciate all your detailed analysis!
  7. One thing I like about this mean for the Richmond area is that it's basically the exact same as the operational. Leaves room for improvement down this way.
  8. Where was the low positioned in comparison to its previous run?
  9. I cant believe it does l I title to nothing in VA east of 77.
  10. 32 here 25 miles southwest of Richmond. Not expecting much of anything.
  11. Nasty dry slot across South central Virginia there. Ouch
  12. I'm sure he will trim back the northern extent in VA. That map was based upon information from 18 and 00z yesterday/last night
  13. Canadian is well south of its previous runs as well.
  14. This was 21z for reference. Things are going the wrong way.
  15. I have it through WSI. It may look north of other guidance..... But its been trending south the last several runs. At 15z it had accumulating snow into Winchester and near Baltimore if that helps..
  16. This seems to be trending to a Southwest NC mountain special.
  17. This is really surprising considering the nam was a whiff for VA. I wonder if there is a member or two skewing the mean.
  18. What about south central VA? 25 zmiles southwest of Richmond
  19. Do you think this is trending in the direction that may get areas 20 mikes SW of Richmond involved?
  20. Is it snowing in richmond at end of 3k run?
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