Torch Tiger

There was talk about long and lengthy coc, now it's barely visible on guidance

Maybe BOS can pull off a +10 for Septorchber

The overhyped two day mild down this weekend is going to be a fleeting memory. We tried to tell 'em.

We pray An upper trough will pivot eastward on Wednesday, spreading 30-40 kt midlevel southwesterly flow across the region. Surface dewpoints in the mid 60s to low 70s will be transported northward across the Piedmont of NC/VA into the Mid-Atlantic vicinity. Strong heating through this corridor will result in moderate to strong instability and thunderstorms will develop over higher terrain during the early afternoon. As convection spreads eastward, some guidance suggests upscale growth is possible, with one or more line segments tracking across the region. Effective shear is somewhat marginal, around 25 kt, and midlevel lapse rates modest. But higher PW values and pockets of steep low-level lapse rates could be sufficient for storm organization along outflows and areas of damaging wind will be possible. At this time, its still unclear where greater potential will develop and will maintain Marginal probs at this time, though upgrades could be needed in subsequent updates if current trends continue.

One of the best (worst) , reminds me of the Cape event a little. That sup was moving along though, 50 kt?

Truly a banger, frantic

Cravings

Another day, another tick backwards of the coming mild down

Yeah, no one ever could have guessed

We switch to winter

This upcoming mild down is going to ruin it for everyone. Congrats ACATT.

We all want HHH to keep SSTs primed for beach, boating, shark and hurricane enthusiasts

I'm jealous. Hope there's not too many jellyfish!

Must be great beach weather and water on the Upper Cape. I need to get down to Old Silver or Chapoquoit before those waters get turned over.

That's what brings my indoor temp up by 5 degrees on console

stay vigilant

Most folks would hope that is the case

Nasty out there, thankfully its only two days of this. 0z and 12z euro both had a really interesting severe signal D9-10 ish. Low slp, triple point, strong llj. Hope that holds somehow

it looks like we sweep in time for the weekend. Augughst and an active week coming up until then.

Indica?

The coming cool down has diminished a bit in the guidance.

Lol

How soon some forget, people died and many were hospitalized in that heat wave.

Folks are still recovering from the last 5 weeks

Lol@ trying to spin July '19 as anything but a vicious torch