Torch Tiger

MHT/CON and the higher hills surrounding were rocked. There are very few trees older than the 38 hurricane in the hills.

Catastrophic stuff for some areas, at least very damaging.

Somewhere I have a picture book from the early 1940's from New Hampshire, the damage was pretty incredible even up there.

1938 was vastly worse than Juan and likely Dorian

Let's get the cold and blocky pattern out of the way before winter.

We needed that UL jet way NW for a heavy rain event.

Many there that would shape any wx weenie. For me..Bob, Gloria, June 95, 1993 superstorm, Aug 2000 (I was older but, the first time driving through a nocturnal supercell was pretty scary)

We have been updated.

don't be a buzzkill

Dorian does make a run at the Gulf after all. Too bad it's near Maine

'Grats

Pray for f'ing Canada.

I have looked into studies that show people who do not use colorful language, have a far greater likelihood of being liars and manipulators. Food for thought.

We do have some concern that rainfall may end up higher on Nantucket. Although it is a low chance, HREF and CAMs suggest maximum rainfall totals could approach 5" there which would lead to more significant poor drainage flooding. Confidence is not high enough to issue Flash Flood Watches at this time, since we do not see all factors coming into play that would tend to favor excessive rainfall. This includes position of upper jet, which will be over SNE and should keep stronger synoptic scale lift farther offshore (as opposed to more favorable position across northern New England), and PWATs staying just below 2" with axis of higher moisture offshore. meh

TV for all

Euro and gfs operational both with strong agreement for that system NE of the islands. That is a notorious zone for long-track CV EC threats. ;/

Hopefully there is rapid weakening very soon, with a,distant offshore track.

I'm hoping for a frigid October/November with several NNE snow events.

'78 injured thousands and killed 100. That's a lot more than many hurricanes, here or elsewhere. Nevermind the property damage as well as economic losses. But you won't hear people on here wishing it away.

This scrapercane is annoying. Sorry, /rant

A redux of Hazel or King would set this forum on fire

too bad the water was/is turned over

The UL jet needs to be west of where the gfs has it.

We can see where it's headed..