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Torch Tiger

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  1. 12km NAM is fun SPC earlier, that is not your standard NE text Additional, more robust, convection was also noted in eastern ON this evening. The environment ahead of these severe storms remains strongly unstable (MUCAPE 3000+ J/kg) and sheared. High-res imagery from Canadian radars shows a mixed storm mode of supercells and organized clusters, which is likely to continue as they approach and cross the international border between 0300 and 0400 UTC. Given the favorable environment and storm mode, a continued risk for mainly hail and damaging winds is expected late this evening into the overnight hours. Though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
  2. yeah, go big or go home landfalling cat 1 would be less than Gloria which was meh
  3. with the Central ridge being modeled more and more west, we may Stein for several weeks!
  4. Definitely some unsettled wx late next week - weekend? Hopefully some much needed severe. And it doesn't hold off until beyond
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