Torch Tiger

countdown to more sunlight as well! Exciting

Holy wind

Decent drink in this general area - I didn't look but guessing .75" to 1" or so

lol....Stein won out for some, he's always lurking

Ya love to see it.

Gusting 40

Nashua storm shield in full effect

Sun popped and gusts to 30

Cloudy and breezy. Meh

Much like today, 6/1/11 was on the radar 7 days in advance as well

I would ignore that model and go off typical D3-5 lead in that "look" ;O I feel like it'll be a dousing for some but 1-2"++?, while most are .25-.50 BUT I have no idea what is going on, perhaps a pro can chime in.

not gonna interject but I think Tip gets it but FIGHT!!!!

Yeah There will be some heavy showers, the smoothed out look does not reflect the ground-truth. There will be haves and have-nots obviously

I don't know about that- not 100% anyway - seems like at least some decent showers will roll through. I'd wager at least .50 for your locale, but is real

If anything it'll trend weak and north, models (non-mesos) love blowing up those meso lows in coarse grids. I could be wrong

we everywhere

you'll see 1" Monday AM

lfg

Looks like a typical seasonal progression going forward- EOM into July could be a roaster.

jakob mcmillin live

so far

chaser TornadoTRX was hit by it.

large unwarned tornado in IL

Not a bad 24-hour lead for our region Ahead of this early activity, a warm front will push north-northeastward across Indiana/Ohio. New severe storm development, perhaps MCV-influenced and transitioning out of the remnant activity and/or forming near the warm front, is possible across Indiana into Ohio. Shear profiles will be excessive, with tornado risk only conditional on minimal instability being present. The result may be a isolated tornadic supercells. The warm frontal position will need to be monitored northward toward the Indiana/Michigan border vicinity. Even if instability is elevated into Michigan, extreme shear and lift may still yield damaging winds and even a tornado risk.

I wasn't comparing them like that-lol but both seem to be missing steep ml llase rates, and that is usually the one key missing ingredient in sne setups that fail.