We've seen these trochoidal wobble around islands including Jamaica, as well. Especially the slow w/wsw drifters. There are a variety of scenarios that are less than "worst-case", a little early to be declaring anything
Yeah it's very low chances, but certainly not impossible. Even the ensemble "clusters" or "camps" are a mess through D5, even D2. lol so we'll see where things land in a few days.