tiger_deF

Ida more than 6 hours after landfall...

Eye has started clouding in but is still remarkably clear, and radar is still very potent

Ida, nearly 5 hours after landfall

Why are any of you awake? Why am I awake?

Presentation is rapidly improving on IR

IR appearance has degraded, but on radar the center is as clear as it's ever looked. I expect Cuba interaction will disturb it somewhat, but it should be fully recovered by tomorrow morning

4 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

 

Not an eye. The actual center is still squarely over the island, not just off of the island.

 

Would this disrupt the core? 

Absolutely dumping rain in greater Boston, came in without a warning

Appearances can be deceiving, but Henri looks the best he has ever looked

Sure looks like Henri is strengthening right now. I would imagine this will continue for the ~3 degrees latitude Henri has left of serviceably hot waters 

Reports of Henri's death have been greatly exaggerated 

Now that everyone on this forum has been poo pooing this storm for days, I am fully expecting it to bust upwards.

Henri is quickly building outflow to the west, though it is still restricted to the North. Impressive convection nonetheless though, I would bet that Henri is near, if not at, hurricane status.

Henri's quite the blobular lad tonight

I like to hold the 3k NAM as the theoretical maximum of a current system. Plenty of systems have verified with the NAM before, but usually when they are in ideal conditions, or for whatever reason seem to "pull it off" given the current environment and overperform.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Just preparing for the winter season 

We are talking about half a foot plus of precipitation, so there is some similarity!

Practically stalls right over SE MA

~20 mb weaker 24 hours out, and ultimately a few mb stronger at landfall. Much farther West as well

7 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

when do we get a floater on this that updates every minute?  those 5 minute IR updates are unacceptable!.

Live feed from GOES-16 streamed into the home of every weenie or bust

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Here I’ll post . Many more members stronger and west 

So instead of coming closer to agreement ~3 days out, the EPS and GFES basically switch places. Wonderful!

2 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

already at 998, deeper than the 12z euro has it at 12z tomorrow

I still remember the days of "King Euro"

How the mighty have fallen... 

Pretty epic bust potential in either direction for this. I could buy a weak, sheared TS crossing hundreds of miles offshore, a cat 2 landfall in SE NE, or anything in between.

I'm interested in seeing if Henri has a symmetrical, concentrated wind profile, or one that is shallow with multiple wind maxima. 

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

No way

For NY/LI/Mid-Atlantic? Yeah Sandy will almost certainly be worse. I think the localized impacts may end up being worse for the Cape and some of SE new England.

Considering Henri is directly under 32kt of Northerly unfavorable shear, he isn't looking too bad this AM