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Cary67

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Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Definitely in a dead zone. Even Madison has cashed in a little this winter
  2. Even if 0Z CMC verifies that's a southern LOT to DTW track. Seen this rerun too often last few yrs.
  3. As you stated too many pieces all have to fall in place just right. At least the miss SE is showing up early.
  4. fairly sharp cut-offs on the northwest side of the precip shield are common in these synoptic set-ups even with stronger surface lows. NW LOT shaft advisory in effect Wed-Fri next week.
  5. Wonderful reminiscing about storms of the past. Hard to imagine they ever came to fruition given the tenuous timing and pieces that all need to fall in place to produce snow in this region.
  6. Definitely. Weaker less phased outcome seems likely given our trends with slide SE. Unless it's targeting MSP this year.
  7. Can you approximate how much of that is synoptic vs les?
  8. Takes courage nowadays. 6Z GFS backed up at least
  9. Near miss on Wed-Thurs system followed by cold push puts us in no mans land. Wonder if this CAD lasts longer than 12 days like December
  10. CMC shows a similar look. Euro seemed to be furthest NW initially with Thursdaysystem and now reflects suppressionof SER and miss to the SE
  11. If we get to Feb.15th without a decent snow(>3") would rather just see futility records roll out and mild air.
  12. Looking good for at least 1-3" when all this is done.
  13. If the band shifts NW to MSP will believe it. Otherwise weakening SE track has 4 days (an eternity model time) to materialize.
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