clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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We dont really even want it to transfer out here. We would just dry slot sooner. Obviously it could be better for you guys to the east. Especially the Eastern Shore. But for those of us to NW we want exactly what we see now.
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GFS even keeps the surface below freezing in DC this run. All frozen event from DC north and west. Would be a sleet bomb after a couple of inches I think as depicted.
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No one touched on the Hi Res Euro from last night. But it is an all frozen event out here in the 81 corridor. Snow to ice to dry slot. That is encouraging to see and really matches climo for these type of storms. Edit: And the 12z GFS matches it almost exactly. Decent thump for everyone on this run.
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That was my biggest concern in the long range with all of that blocking on the models. Obviously way too far out there to blow a gasket yet. But something to watch for sure.
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Sorry wrong thread.
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It is on Pivotal.
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Last nights Hi Res Euro had some ice with next weekends storm. That threat isnt over yet. The long range guidance all still looks really good. I dont get the negativity of a few in this thread. The Euro nailed this warm up a couple of weeks ago. There is no reason to think it is wrong about the decent pattern two weeks from now.
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Happy BDay! Love Lansdowne. They have some incredible rooms with great views of the river.
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The NavGem might have put up a better fight?
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Both games today were dominated by the defensive lines. A great DL and running game wins in the playoffs. Feel a little bad for you Ravens fans.....Just a little.
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Not trying to be a deb downer. But that is a lot of blocking being modeled over the top. Anyone else worried about storms being squashed IF that verifies.
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I would be fine with it just like that. No rain for us out here. Snow to ice to dry slot. Which would then become a glacier for a few days. It is a decent run.
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The Australian long range MJO forecast was all in during the fall with us going through 7-8-1 in the heart of our best climo. The majority of the spaghetti plots still go through 8 but at a low amplitude. They dont make it to 1 though. I didnt keep records back in 93' 94'. I was in Loudoun then and I do remember it being very icy. I found a pretty good site with write ups on some of the worst storms of that season: https://tornadogenius.fandom.com/wiki/1993-94_United_States_winter_storm_season
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If the MJO makes it to 781 during late Jan early Feb then the long range MJO models would have been spot on. I was looking at them in late Nov and salivating at the thought of that happening.
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The roads are a mess out in the Winchester area. Solid ice. Should make for a fun morning commute.
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Cedar Creek Grade Rd?
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Sun is out in the Winchester area. Talk about a sharp back edge.
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Just got home from Harrisonburg. 81 was an absolute disaster. Still snowing here with 4.1 inches on my board. Very light swnow falling though. Really a great event. And it was beautiful driving up and down 81 in it.
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No doubt. Nothing getting done in this meeting
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It is just dumping in Harrisonburg right now. In a work meeting watching it out the window. Nickle size flakes pounding. Looks like close to 3 inches here already.
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Forgot to mention in my earlier post that the drive from Winchester to Harrisonburg was OK. 81 from New Market south is snow covered. But traffic was moving fine. Still dumping here in Harrisonburg. The afternoon drive home should be fun.
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Down in Harrisburg. They have around an inch and a half. And perfect dendrites falling here. Beautiful winter day!
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Cloudy 27//19 here NW of Winchester. I am on my way to Harrisonburg. Looks like it is already snowing down that way?
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Yeah. If 81 is crushed I will do that.
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