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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    I'm good! Thanks Mappy!!!!
  2. Weather Will
    WB 18Z EURO said F. GFS Edit: some of this is ice. Warm layer upstairs on this run.
  3. Weather Will
    What a confusing day on this forum hopefully we get the kinks worked out, the storms are coming!!!!!
  4. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS at 7am Monday compared to EURO at 12Z. We need the GFS track to be wrong and shift further north.
  5. Weather Will
    I'm no expert, but there is a lot of confusion in this thread. It is my understanding that we want the confluence to shift NE so the low does not get torn apart but the low must also track across VA not southern NC.
  6. Weather Will
    At 18Z looks like low tracked further south on both the ICON and the GFS (WB).
  7. Weather Will
    WB 12Z NAM, watching the trends on the confluence shifting NE. Hour 84 at 12Z compared to hour 78 at 18Z. Continues to tick NE a little faster which is good.
  8. Weather Will
    WB 15Z NBM
  9. Weather Will
    One thing about this potential storm that is really impressing me is that we have 3 days preceding the storm to chill the ground again, and Monday temps will stay below freezing. Every flake will stick and even treated roads will quickly cave. Been awhile since we have that forecast scenario.
  10. Weather Will
    WB GFS has not been rocksteady. Last four runs.
  11. Weather Will
    Refresh my memory on when we should stop looking at ensembles.... I generally would stop leaning on them inside five days.
  12. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GEFS members
  13. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GFS. Snow breaks out SW to NE during Monday am. No mixing. Surface temps hover around freezing mid afternoon but fall back into the 20s by early evening. Nice moderate event!
  14. Weather Will
    WB 0Z GEFS; about 9 good hits
  15. Weather Will
  16. Weather Will
    Of course none of these models matter unless the King confirms.
  17. Weather Will
    WB 0Z Canadian updated
  18. Weather Will
    Models will have it figured out by Tuesday.....
  19. Weather Will
    WB 0Z GFS is further north with vorticity at 117 compared to 18Z.
  20. Weather Will
    Image
  21. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS. 31 is acceptable.
  22. Weather Will
    Not kuchera so actually under doing it.
  23. Weather Will
    12Z ICON added next timeframe. Image
  24. Weather Will
    6Z WB AI actually went a little south this run compared to 0Z but still not sheared.
  25. Weather Will
    WB 6Z EURO at Day 6, end of run.
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