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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. I will not clutter the forum with percentage maps. I plan to post the 0z EPS and 12z EPS. I want snow as well so it hurts me as much as it hurts others that want snow. I view the maps as a quick and dirty way to see if an event is in sight. Nothing more should be read into it.
  2. DT put out a nice summary of why the winter has been bad. He also states that our best hope in this pattern is an overrunning event. Also indicates normally these patterns don’t lock in for four months so there is some hope for March. Check it out on his wxrisk facebook site. Good read.
  3. I am posting accurate information. It is bad, but not surprising. If you don’t care what the EPS indicates our snow chances are over the next 9 days don’t look at it. But don’t blame the messenger. Interesting in these times that individuals go on the attack when they don’t see or hear what they perceive as the perfect response.
  4. 12z EPS snow probs are bad thru Day 9....I will post Oz EPS in am. Not worth posting anything else until EURO on board.
  5. I think we need to hope for more ridging in the West so that the trough is deeper in the East. That would shift the storm track further SE. I am not saying that is going to happen, but the EURO at 12Z did shift the storm track further south this run compared to 0z attached in response to more ridging over Alaska.
  6. Actually, the low was centered over WV last run. Track not set in stone yet. Let’s see what EPS shows.
  7. I do notice more ridging over Alaska this run late next week on WB EURO 12Z.
  8. WB 12Z GEFS for next weekend. About 30 percent are acceptable.
  9. 12Z WB CAN....seems like there is some sorting out to do for the end of next week still....maybe the King will set the other models straight once again.
  10. WB 12Z GFS for next Friday/early Sat. I know only one ops run but it is under Day 9. Let’s see if there will GEFS support or support from the King EURO and Prince Canada.
  11. WB 6Z GEFS. I greatly appreciate the expertise of our forum’s pattern experts and they have been spot on since December. That being said, as we enter February, my focus will be to find the needle in a haystack snow storm. I have given up on us having a great pattern. Just give us enough cold air to give us a chance. There is 0 percent of that over the next 7 days. Later next week and beyond I will keep watching until Mid March or so.
  12. Yah, I know...But we are at about 6 weeks and ticking, i get home around 6 and noticed the sun setting....everyone will be talking the dreaded sun angle soon!!!
  13. WB 18Z GEFS...call me skeptical until we get this probability under 10 days...
  14. WB 12K NAM....Won't amount to much but some mood flakes early Sat. could not hurt if it verifies.
  15. WB EPS 12Z says don’t hold your breadth for any snow...
  16. 6z WB GEFS thru Day 16. Unfortunately, like most of he winter it is beyond Day 10.
  17. WB DAY 10 500MB anomalies.....hmmm.....with a little more blocking over Greenland, a little more ridging over the west coast, and a slightly deeper trough in the east we are in business...now everyone can tell me why I am wrong.
  18. Way too early to know what will happen on DAY 10. WB EURO OP has 5 lows east of the Mississippi. Looks confused like the NAM usually does.
  19. WB 12Z EURO for this weekend. Still a fish storm, but the fish are now getting wet on the Delmarva not off of the coast.
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