Weather Will

WB 18Z GEFS. Too bad its for early April.

0Z NAM trended colder with some mood flakes Monday am.

WB 18Z EURO...mood flakes Monday am as I start my second week of telework.

WB ICON and GFS.....good thing is no one is getting a snowstorm anywhere near us now. Let's see what EURO does.

Much different in SW Frederick County. Went to the grocery store at 7:00am and NWS blew it not issuing a dense fog advisory for our area. The drive from Brunswick along 340 to the Catoctin bridge was horrible, then it cleared up. It will be very interesting to see how warm we get today here. Still overcast with showers.

6Z EURO WB trended a little cooler at the surface Monday am, but still above freezing so maybe it makes no difference....not much on the ground. Snow in the air would lighten my mood. Another casual observation. EURO was the last to show the NC accumulations in the event last month if I recall correctly.

Too bad....back to work. WB 12Z EURO

WB 6Z GFS nothing for us.

WB 6Z ICON

NWS 4am discussion. The high to our north will migrate eastward over the Northeast Sunday night as zonal flow aloft deteriorates and a shortwave trough digs into the Ohio Valley. Come Monday morning, surface low pressure will develop near the North Carolina coast, tracking north northeast throughout the day. The resultant weather locally will be precipitation breaking out overnight Sunday and lingering through much of the day on Monday. With the high to our northeast helping to supply chilly conditions, wintry precip concerns emerge for our Blue Ridge westward zones late Sunday night and into the day on Monday. Ensemble guidance continues to indicate the potential for accumulating snowfall across portions of northern and western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and western Virginia. Will iron out the finer details in the coming days, but model consistency does bring confidence in at least a slight winter storm threat for accumulating snowfall in the areas noted above.

WB 0Z GEFS not as enthusiastic.

WB 0Z GFS very similar.

WB 0Z EPS

WB 0Z EURO. Snow under 5 days for NW burbs.

EPS uptick 12Z WB

Agreed. Hug the WB 0Z Canadian!!!

WB 18Z GEFS is going the wrong direction.

WB 12Z EPS. Not dead yet for early next week for NW burbs but we have not trended in the right direction under 6 days all winter it seems.

WB Canadian actually similar to GFS but SW.; EURO is Dr. No.

WB 12Z GEFS some support for operational under 7 days.

WB GFS at 6 days out is not fantasy range...

WB 0Z EPS: 11/50 or a little over 20% bring snow to the NW burbs. Just the facts, not sure I am rooting for it at this point. But tracking the chances takes your mind off of tracking the virus.

WB 18Z GEFS.

18Z EPS and control through end of March...one thing to watch is whether the NAO will trend more negative which could help our last gasp chances.

18Z WB 3K NAM