Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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12Z EPS has only 2/50 Members showing a nice hit for late next week. Until if/when it improves, not even remotely optimistic.
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It is not awful for the NW suburbs. But I would love a shift 50 SE rather than further NW so everyone is in the game.
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WB GEFS thru Day 7. Highest probability I have seen for 3 inches or more in recent memory for NW suburbs. BUT one run, lets see if the probs. hold over the weekend and if EPS gets on board.
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WB 18Z GEFS thru end of run.
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WB 12Z CMS AO Ensemble....Hope this is correct. Game changer.
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WB 12Z EPS.....Late next week and beyond we will hopefully have some tracking to do.
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Agreed...much further South for the Day 7-8 threat
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12Z GEFS thru DAY 8...I found the GFS OP for late next week intriguing...
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I will look at 12z GEFS for next week when it is that far out.
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My recollection is that the 80-90% was a one run GEFS forecast for the entire 16 day period. I never saw a probability map under 5 days showing those percentages. I don't think that either EPS or GEFS ever had a high percentage for 3 inches or more for this weekend's event.
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Agreed....EURO teleconnection ensembles thru 2/20 stink (with the exception of a weak dip in EPO, but that is not enough.) We wait to see If there is a change in the last week of February into March.
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6Z GEFS is abysmal for the entire run.. No pictures for awhile. Some would go apoplectic.
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Not a flake on 6Z ICON or GFS for weekend. It's over, Grover.
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WB 0z EPS for weekend. Dream about 38. Our 2 percent chance....
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WB 0z EURO says what snow through Day 10...if it makes anyone feel better the entire megalopolis is a disaster. Back to chasing unicorns.
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WB 18Z EPS Control GN
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WB 18z EPS individual members....not good.
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WB 18Z EPS weak sauce. Hopefully, just a blip.
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Hope that is correct....waiting for EPS.
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WB 18z v. 12Z EURO at 12z Sat
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WB 18z EURO....here comes Dr. No...much weaker surface reflection at end of run compared to 12z.
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18Z GEFS thru Sunday.
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WB 18z GEFS. Best probability map thru Day 16 in forever. Highest mean also.
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I think it will be 12z Friday before we know. Anxious to see and GEFS trends.
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WB 18Z GFS. Remember it is still playing catch up to EURO...at least I hope!
