Weather Will

WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9...interesting that several of the members take the heavy snow south of DMV...

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

What the heck is WB? Warner Brothers?

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Weather Bell...lawyer in me giving them credit for their maps 

WB 12Z inside 10 

WB 6Z GEFS....through Day 10 sums up January....I would not get hopes up until we see something on the ensembles inside 10 days.

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

14 or so acceptable hits in there to my eye, with several biggies. Not bad.

Now let’s see if we can increase this over the next week...I will be frustrated if there is not a threat showing up inside 10 days on the deterministic models by next weekend.  Until then, will be patient....

18Z WB GEFS...

WB 12Z EPS.  Patience for another 10 days in order, hopefully there will not be another delay....looks good beyond 10 days!!!

WB 0Z EPS.  Also looks good in long range.

WB 0Z GEFS.... not bad but all is still 10 plus days out.

WB 12Z EPS thru late next week.... holding on by a thread.  The GEFS and Canadian are worse.

29 minutes ago, nj2va said:

I still think Saturday (outside the mountains) could surprise some with snow TV.  It's something at least.

Few mood flakes on WB 12Z GFS make it east of the mountains overnight Friday.

WB Day 6 EPS....use your imagination on where the bowling ball goes until 12Z comes out.

WB EURO 0Z

WB EURO 12Z v 0Z back to bed...

WB EURO 12Z v. OZ for next week...

WB 0Z GEFS does not show much interest in next weekend, one good member....

WB 12Z EPS.  Note this is all from late next week 15th and onward.

WB 12Z EURO....for late next week.  Hopefully something still to track at 0Z.

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Thanks for that Will.  I was getting too enthused.  If I buy the bullet can you load the gun for me.  Thanks in advance.  

None of us will do it, but to keep your sanity, one should just not look  at the models for five days and then check back in....the head fakes from run to run are crazy...

WB 18Z GEFS Sad Hour through Day 11...

WB 12Z EPS...looks good but most of this digital snow action is after the 22nd.  Trend watching will be fun over the next week!

6Z GEFS thru Day 8....not great but best look in weeks at this range.  Will be interesting to see if we finally trend the right direction inside 8 days.

18Z WB GEFS through Day 10,  Dudsville.

Expectations should be low through  the next two weeks...ensembles remain a dud.  Forget about AO, NAO, PNA, WPO, EPO, and strat.warm.  Say a Hail Mary and hope ET comes home.  We need divine intervention.

To keep my expectations in check, I refuse to get head faked by the deterministic models outside 5 days anymore.   If their respective ensembles show some support, I keep an eye on it....