Weather Will

Thanks, got it. I think when I was younger 4 inches was enough for a winter storm warning at least inside the Beltway, but maybe I am not remembering correctly.

How do we get near blizzard conditions without a winter storm warning? Not enough total snow fall expected? If we get 5 inches doesn’t that meet the criteria? No one will take near blizzard conditions seriously with an advisory.

WB 3K NAM …. Maybe even PSU will be impressed with the mid March midday cold tomorrow…

18Z WB 3K NAM sleet to snow between 6 am and 9am in DC.

WB 15Z SREF Mean

Refresh my memory, how reliable is HRRR outside a few hours?

Over by 5am Sunday even in the highest elevations of WV WB 18Z HRRR.

If there is a period of time that we have 40 mph gusts, snow, blowing snow and wind chills near 0, I will give January and March an A. February a D. Winter overall gets a B ending on a high note.

WB 18Z HRRR 3pm: Guess it is time to get greedy looking for a winter storm warning. Hope Ji approves.

1pm

10 am

WB 18Z HRRR at 8 am

WB 12Z EURO

WB EURO at 27

WB EURO at 24

Do not change my title or I will put a heck on this storm….

WB 12Z GFS; remember GFS was not on board until recently. Compare to 12Z yesterday

WB 6Z NBM nice uptick overnight compared to 0Z. The National Blend of Models (NBM) is a nationally consistent and skillful suite of calibrated forecast guidance based on a blend of both NWS and non-NWS numerical weather prediction model data and post-processed model guidance.

You definitely tried to kill it though I will take what is being forecasted in a heartbeat….

My first thread and I did not kill the storm!!!

Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun- 357 AM EST Fri Mar 11 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Northwest winds will gust around 45 to 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Maryland as well as portions of northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 3 PM EST Saturday. Rain will change to snow between 5 and 7 AM early Saturday morning. The steadiest snow will be through midday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Visibility may

WB 6Z 3K NAM….. first time in awhile everything trending in the right direction inside 24 hours….

WB 3K NAM; Maybe I need to start posting the snow maps for next January…

WB 12Z EURO is noticeably drier this run….we do find a variety of ways to fail in these parts….

WB 12Z GFS: At 10 an, when GFS shows sleet, all levels seem below freezing? Warm layer there somewhere EURO is not seeing….