Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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You know folks…. 99.9999% of people are perfectly happy with no snow…. But we continue our insanity of watching/hoping for snow knowing that most of the time we will fail, just the way it is….
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Looking ahead to the third week of January… WB 12Z EPS..we are not done yet….
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WB 18Z 3K NAM….2023 version of DC being NAM’D.
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12Z EPS yawning at snow potential for late week.
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12Z GEFS: 3, 6, and 12…
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WB 12Z EURO….perhaps it will be correct but seems the model can’t decide between the Ohio valley low and a coastal transfer. By the time it consolidates, it is too far north and off the coast for our latitude. Transfer sooner, closer to the coast then you can worry about temps…
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WB 12Z GEFS…..don’t give up yet…
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I don’t know, still think track is key. We don’t get snows with primary dying in Northern Ohio and secondary forming over DC…
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WB 6Z CFS likes the late January/early February period.
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Back to looking for cold air. WB 0Z CFS gives sustained cold starting the period after January 20 through February 20 (with the peak of the cold in the first part of February). EPS also has the EPO going negative at the end of its run around the 20th, We will see but our winter chances are not over yet….
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I know there is a different thread, but it is going to be a long week, GFS and EURO can’t even agree inside 2 days…
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WB 18Z GEFS held its own…
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10 am Sat mean. We are in the game for another 6 hours,
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4 am Sat
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1 am Sat.
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4pm
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1pm
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WB 18Z GEFS 10am Fri.
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WB 18Z GFS…. Very unusual evolution. Will be interesting to see how this plays out…
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WB 18Z GFS
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WB 3K NAM DC Bullseye!
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WB 12Z EPS today v. yesterday. This is not the first time it has done this….
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Look at the Atlantic between EPS and GEFS. The track of the lies us very similar….sorry this is beyond me, models are all over the place.
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WB 12Z EURO 1am Friday, compared to 12Z yesterday.
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WB 12Z EURO has it figured out all right….what is bad about the EURO is its complete lack of cold air/confluence. If that is correct, the track does not matter.
