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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS does not look good compared to yesterday. Lot of volatility in Week of Dec 12.
  2. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GFS looks much better than 6Z….I am thinking that is why it was so quiet in here earlier…
  3. Weather Will
    I personally have to be reminded….I am not a patient individual….
  4. Weather Will
    While we patiently wait, I thought this video from NBC 4 Meteorologist Ryan Miller may help to keep expectations in check with regards to December snow… When Will D.C. See Snow? Here's a Look at Winter Trends https://www.nbcwashington.com/weather/when-will-d-c-see-snow-heres-a-look-at-winter-trends/3218470/
  5. Weather Will
    Cold shot in the Dec 8-9 period could be the one to set us up for a wintry event. The weekend of the 9-12 period that Cape has referenced appears to be our first chance of accumulating snow east of the mountains. Too early to pinpoint a particular wave. Initially, I had been looking at Dec 5-6 period but it looks like that is too early.
  6. Weather Will
    I am not saying cancel December but that patience will be needed….6Z WB EPS this week (which no one saw as cold and stormy) will verify and not be…
  7. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS. The probability maps say no strong signal for a storm the next 2 weeks. It is still too early to be analyzing every run…. The press of colder air is hopefully just delayed and not denied…but not cold enough the next 2 weeks.
  8. Weather Will
    In his WB blog earlier last week, JB stated he has concerns for “severe cold” around mid month. He also said in one of his videos that he did not want to lose viewers by stating how the pattern will evolve in January….(the implication was torch in January.)
  9. Weather Will
    WB 12Z GEFS teleconnections. Look pretty good to me. One thing about the PNA, though negative it is not at record low -4 standard deviation to overwhelm everything else like last December…
  10. Weather Will
    WB 12Z Ensembles: first period to watch is the Dec. 5-6 period. Happy and peaceful Thanksgiving to all!
  11. Weather Will
    Beautiful day to put up outdoor Christmas decorations….upper 50s and light winds.
  12. Weather Will
    We both know that the model with the least cold and snow usually wins out around here, but there is cold air lurking in Canada this year so at least we are in the ball game….
  13. Weather Will
    I would remind everyone that it was the EURO/EPS that had a coastal storm for this Friday that fizzled out.
  14. Weather Will
    Happy to see the optimism. Be Thankful… I predict we will know if it will snow in December by January 1, 2023.
  15. Weather Will
    WB EPS Control from 11/21.
  16. Weather Will
    Probably not east of the mountains. My point is that the models are all over the place outside a few days. Hopefully it will be a December to remember!!!
  17. Weather Will
    I love cold weather around Thanksgiving….excuse to eat more! Plus it can’t hurt to chill water temperatures for our hopes for December Nor’easter! Long range models are volatile for December, but not showing wall to wall torch… too much negativity in here. It is cold for any day of the winter today…sunny in mid 30s with teen windchills…come on…
  18. Weather Will
    WB 12Z EPS v. 6Z EPS for Friday. Love the active pattern with cold air around…. So much better than last year…
  19. Weather Will
    Well at least there is some cold air around as we head into December. Felt like it did not go below freezing until after the New Year last winter…with a little luck the pattern will give many of us some snow by the end of the year. Could not say that in mid November last year looking into December.
  20. Weather Will
    Everyone keeps saying what if this were 3 weeks later, climo, are we alluding to water temps? Or what? We have snow cover to our north to help support our source regions….water temps are above normal. WB maps
  21. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS….lots of misses but a few big hits in the Day 8-10 period. At least Thanksgiving period is not a torch….
  22. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GFS is bullish for Tues….it’s first fail or coup for the season….
  23. Weather Will
    I alway consider November 11 the period where we can start watching for snow….took 4 hours to travel from University of MD College Park to Greenbelt that day when surprise snowstorm hit….cars were abandoned all along my route home….thunder snow fell fast and furious. One of the most memorable storms of my life so far…
  24. Weather Will
    WB 0Z 3K NAM
  25. Weather Will
    18Z WB 3K NAM did shift heavier rain bands east of mountain.
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