The WB 6Z EPS ticked NW this run. I think we are honing in on higher elevation event, but whether the NW burbs get any substantial snow is still unclear. Quick count 11 of 50 members bring snow to NW zones east of mountains.
Good thing I said I would not pay attention to the ensembles anymore for the weekend storm. GEFS ticked south and east…and not as intense.
We are still a couple days out from the final solution but best GFS happy hour run in a long time…
Got to smell the rain to get the best snow….
With our luck this winter, there will be heavy snow in Pittsburgh on Sunday and 70 here with thunderstorms but we need a bombshell low with marginal temperatures…. Livin on the edge!!!!
At this point, I am watching the Global models. The ensembles carry less weight as we move under five days. At least we have something to track other than 300 hour 500 MB maps, and speculative stratwarm and MJO effects in three weeks.