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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. Brutal. DCA gets a dusting and Leesburg gets a foot.
  2. I for one am hoping to see the UKIE/CMC get back in the game today. They were both crap yesterday. Slightly less interested in the waffling of GFS/EURO.
  3. GEPS is basically a hold serve on the clown maps.
  4. GEFS very boom or bust, I'll take P23 with a side of P28
  5. ICON is good, especially for SE of 95. LP is Miller A-esque (don't hate me).
  6. I know you know this, but the 20 mile wide gradient between 2" and 10" makes these storms rough even at close range.
  7. GEFS looks a smidge warmer than 12Z, but precip field has a really nice characteristic shape. For some reason my media size limit is like 8 pixels...
  8. Main difference there is 10:1 vs Kuchera, not the timing.
  9. Good general rule: If we are worried about both suppression AND over-amping, we're in a pretty good spot.
  10. A bit better for everyone, a lot better for some says Kuchera.
  11. I know I've seen them before, but where can I find various lead-time verification score graphs?
  12. 12Z GFS looks a whole heck of a lot like the 00Z EURO. Double SLP on either side of the mountains eventually consolidates into a coastal. Thermals are trashed for a lot of the sub and new england is crushed with snow.
  13. The SLP jumps to the mouth of the Chesapeake at 174 before riding up the coast and crushing interior New England.
  14. There are several ways to fail LOL. 2 are too warm, 3 miss south, and P11 is pretty good but lacks the QPF of the bigger hits.
  15. This is either the season of udder disappointment OR the season of geese omniscience... time will tell.
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