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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. So we can take it out back and give it what for!?!
  2. 38/29... down a degree since 4:30 but feeling pretty nervous
  3. I've never heard of this technique... Are you using trig and distance from the dish to estimate here?
  4. Kuchera 12Z vs 6Z shows a big jump south for the 1", 2" lines! Slightly less than 10:1, as expected.
  5. On a separate note, does anybody have any guesses why the CWG map is oriented like this? Most models I have seen show a gradient nothing like this angle.
  6. Maybe we can set up a VIX for regional snow sentiment. I’d love to see that. We’ve certainly had an up day in the last 24 hours.
  7. I would give up a limb of the reaper’s choice for that map right now.
  8. Para GFS has marginally higher scores @500mb. Like .01 better. eta:
  9. I really thought one of the two would fold tonight... Guess not.
  10. I've officially hit weenie stock-market-bubble-like elation. I'm now torn between being thrilled by the 00Z runs and being terrified of the EURO later.
  11. Para GFS takes a step south from 18Z. Parts of WV/MD fringed. 6"+ for VA and DC though.
  12. Do you have a link to this source? Also anyone have a link to the 500mb verification charts from NCEP?
  13. Handily crushes the bombogenesis standard! Too bad there's no explosion emoji.
  14. Nice bump on QPF vs. 00Z. Still not in the same ballpark as GFS, though. EURO 12Z: EURO 00Z: GFS 12Z:
  15. I agree GFS run is too good to be true. I just like seeing some (small) progress in the Euro.
  16. North tick, slightly more QPF up close to DC. I’ll take the progress. Still a long way to go.
  17. Verbatim, GFS makes it up to hurricane force sustained winds as it pulls away. 70 knot surface winds @ hr 144.
  18. Just give me this one storm. That’s all I want. One good score and I’ll go back into hibernation for summer.
  19. I don't understand this sentiment of lost reliability. Euro still crushes all in anomaly correlation extremely consistently.
  20. A couple members don’t quite have the thermals at lower elevations.
  21. The blatant pessimism helps me not be so surprised when we get fringed, blowtorched, and suppressed all at the same time.
  22. That one hurt. I may need to take a break for the 00Z runs tonight. I don't know if I can handle the next 7 days straight of this pain.
  23. GEFS has a more consolidated wave for Feb. 1 than the EPS, but pretty sparse on snowy members... GEFS: EPS:
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