jaydreb

Cold powder because I don’t want all the worries about mixing.

Capital Weather Gang going with slightly below normal snowfall. Hopefully the link isn't paywalled. Reagan National Airport (DCA): 10 to 14 inches (compared with a 15.4-inch average, 11-inch median) Dulles International Airport (IAD): 14 to 18 inches (compared with a 22.0-inch average, 16 inch-median) Baltimore-Washington International Marshall Airport (BWI): 14 to 18 inches (compared with a 20.1-inch average, 15-inch median) Fairfax, Loudoun, Montgomery counties: 12 to 20 inches Alexandria, Arlington and Prince George’s counties and the District: 10 to 16 inches DEC +3 JAN +1-2 FEB +1-2 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/11/18/washington-dc-winter-outlook-2020-21/

3x climo blizzard for me would be about 5’ of snow. No way I would pass that up. How long does it stick around though? If it’s gone within a few days that might change things.

It might be time for the reaper to open the socially distanced Panic Room.

Agree. I’m totally fine with an above normal November. Temps in the 50s and 60s are pretty much my ideal fall weather.

I agree. I think schools should be open when community spread is reasonably low, but the risk becomes too great when community spread gets above a certain level.

I see we are picking up where we left off last winter.

Cool, thanks for the info.

For those of you familiar with the area, is Wisp/Deep Creek typically open with snow around New Years?

Good. It’s too hot today.

I’m sure there were other reasons but the strongly -NAO helped.

We stop at rest stops or places like Sheetz as necessary. We put on our masks and go and then leave. I understand that there is some risk involved but what can you do? There isn’t much choice. Again, if one of us were high risk the story would be different.

We took our trip to OBX a few weeks ago and are still planning to go to Smoky Mountains in August, but we stay in our own house and don’t really have much indoor interaction with other people other than picking up take out from a restaurant. If one of us was high risk, we would think differently.

Nice storm moving through.

Not a surprise, but Arlington County sent out an email today saying the “most likely” scenario is that we will be having remote learning in the fall. The “least likely” scenario is a return to normal operations. In between in terms of likelihood is some combination of in person and remote learning.

Was this it? Check out this trail on AllTrails. https://www.alltrails.com/trail/us/maryland/seneca-ridge-to-seneca-greenway-trail-loop?p=-1

Thanks for this. I’ll check it out. Can you access the creek for fishing?

Anybody have any suggestions for places within an hour of DC to walk/hike that aren’t overrun?

I’m surprised there hasn’t been more people commenting on Hogan et. al saying that there won’t be a full return to school until Phase 3, which is tentatively estimated to be January 2021. Maybe I’m misinterpreting it. https://www.eyeonannapolis.net/2020/05/governor-hogans-update-on-covid-19-response-go-boating-and-golfing/ EDIT: After reading the article a little closer, I see that Maryland hasn’t tied the phases to any particular date. The tentative date of January 2021 for Phase 3 was based on a chart that was provided to the state by a professor as part of a presentation.

I never said there was no testing or tracking.

I don’t know what you have been reading, but over 60,000,000 people caught H1N1 in this country. It was nothing like South Korea is now. We weren’t tracking and tracing all of them. I suggest you take a break from posting nonsense, stop making things up, and stop insulting people. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/2009-h1n1-pandemic.html If we took the same steps with coronavirus that we took with H1N1 (no shutdowns, no social distancing) we would have an even greater disaster on our hands. This virus is much more dangerous.

Well, we’ll just have to disagree on that because the steps that South Korea and New Zealand took in response to coronavirus, namely test, trace and isolate, were not the steps that the US took during H1N1. Over 60,000,000 people caught that virus in the US. Nowhere near that percentage caught the coronavirus in South Korea and NZ. And no scientist in the world is going to be able to offer an exact date on when we should reopen, how we should reopen, what should reopen, etc. They will tell us what to consider in making those decision, but there is no exact formula.

No, it’s because coronavirus is deadlier and more contagious than swine flu. There are general steps to take in responding to a pandemic, but the precise details depend on many variables, including the nature of the underlying disease.

No there isn’t. If there was we would have done the same things for H1N1 that we are doing for Coronavirus.

The above post probably belongs in the politics thread, but I would say that deciding how to respond to a pandemic and when and how to open the economy is not an exact science. It’s a multi-factor determination that weighs many considerations — including the opinions of scientists, as well as economists, ethicists, engineers, etc. It’s not like there is an exact correct answer that is knowable.