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Tallis Rockwell

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Everything posted by Tallis Rockwell

  1. I watched tons of fairly odd parents as a kid before I got into anime and comics. Too bad the show sucks now.
  2. Can't come with a rhyme I am just too itchy...
  3. No one cares about Icky Vicky dude...
  4. That's the worst type of development one day, tropical storm, literally 12 hours later it's a cat 2 The new gulf disturbance is in warmest part of the gulf. So that could turn ugly
  5. This will go down history has a weird and interesting hurricane season as we might run out of names before October but with some relatively low ACE.
  6. First northeast impact, tropical storm, Second northeast impact, hurricane, Third northeast impact, Major hurricane? Sounds like 2020 to me!
  7. CMC has the best record for picking up on tropical activity this year. 500 mb vorticity shows 3 areas I am interested in. It could just be my overactive imagination but there are 3 patches of vorticity that could Nana, Omar, Paulette(?) The most impressive one is forecast to be a tropical storm, there another less impressive one behind it, and a weak disturbance that moves in the very high potential Caribbean. This over a week after Marco and Laura so I am sure the waters would have recovered. Don't pay too much attention to intensity after CMC has Laura as 980-something low right now!
  8. Why does NHC think Marco is going to strength further with the shear? Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days as the system approaches the Yucatan peninsula, and Marco could be near hurricane strength when it moves over the central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and early Monday. Is the shear going to move away from the storm? I was under that impression.
  9. Nasty but how will the shear progress?
  10. All that focus on Laura, while Marco might've always been the real threat. How bad is the shear? I didn't see much of it yesterday. (Then again the models have been sh!^.)
  11. That shows potential I guess but land interaction is going to inhibit it. The models, I think, are underestimating it a bit. Not a lot of shear or dry air and some good warm water.
  12. The models are all over the place for both disturbances from major hurricane to literally nothing. Sounds fun.
  13. This coronavirus lifestyle has been my life for almost all of my 20 years so nothing has changed for me this year! I should probably see a therapist though.
  14. Why in the world are so many disparaging this season!? "It's not as intense as 2005 or not a lot of intense systems so far." It hasn't reached the seasonal peak yet! Still ten more days until things actually become favorable for more intense storms. So what if it isn't like 2005? 2017 had fewer hurricanes and lower ACE but was costlier and had a comparable death toll. 2005 should never be the bar minimum for an active season or even hyperactive season. After the largest dust plume in 50 years, sinking air masses, considerable shear, and after factoring out some of the less impressive systems,THE SEASON IS STILL IMPRESSIVE. The models aren't infallible especially this far out and this season's model performance have not been impressive. Sure it's possible that the shear doesn't go down and the dry air continues for the rest of the year but nothing has come to suggest that.
  15. Why in the world is there literally nothing on the models? Usually I would see some fake storms by now but nothing!
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